Sundial of world news

The CAC 40 has struggled to define a trend on Friday. The meeting has been volatile, rising succeeding downward and vice versa. Halfway through, the ACC showed an increase of 0.54% to 3619.85 points after opening down 0.13% to 3595.66 points. Before switching to newcomer to build in the red to 16 hours under the 3600 points. Finally, ACC closed with a gain of 0.18% to 3607.05 points.

Elsewhere, the indices have evolved piecemeal. The London Stock Exchange, which opened down 0.37%, ended on a note steady at 5312.62 points. The DAX index of the Frankfurt Stock Exchange, which had also started the session on a decline of 0.27%, finished with a gain of 0.39% to 6166.34 points.The Madrid Stock Exchange, where banks are under pressure as the newspaper El Pais said in its edition today, regaining ground with a rise of 1.07% against -0.54% in early trade.

The waiting game surrounding the publication of results of stress tests of European banks calls for caution investors. On the currency markets, the euro back a bit against the dollar, under $ 1.29.

Asian markets have them selected more strongly green this morning. Yesterday, U.S. markets have done a great meeting at which time the Dow has gained almost 2%, relatively insensitive to the announcement of a surprise increase in weekly unemployment registration.

Consumption of French decline

In terms of macroeconomic statistics, the session looks very calm.No major indicator is expected in the United States.

In France, the French household consumption of manufactured goods fell 1.4% in June after the previous month was supported by purchases of televisions before the World Cup, according to figures published by INSEE before the opening markets. Throughout the second quarter, it shows a decrease of 0.9% after falling 1.9% on the first three months of the year. Analysts on average expected a rise of 0.2% in June

INSEE also believes that the request to industry has increased significantly in the second quarter but is expected to decline in the third.The balance measures the views of industrialists on the past evolution of aggregate demand was 9 in the previous survey in April to 17 in July, and 4-14 for foreign demand.

In Germany, business climate has improved significantly more than expected in recent weeks. The Ifo index rose to 106.2 against 101.2 in June (revised from 101.1 in the initial estimate) last month. Economists and analysts had expected decline to 101.6.

TF1 jumped after its results

Stress tests, however, occupy the banking sector.BNP Paribas (-0.06%), Societe Generale (+0.08%), Credit Agricole (-1.11%) and Natixis (+0.10%) are unsure about what direction to take.

Moreover, the markets will again this session to analyze several quarterly publications:

TF1 (6.41% to 12.45 euros) announced before market advertising revenues up 11% in the first semester for a total turnover of 1.28 billion euros, above consensus. Net income group share was 74 million euros over the period. The objectives are significantly revised upward with a turnover in 2010 rose by 7% instead of 4%.

STMicroelectronics (-3.58% to 6.49 euros) reported Thursday a profit above expectations at 18 cents per share, with sales up 27% to $ 2.53 billion.Analysts on average expected a profit of 14 cents per share and a turnover of 2.513 billion dollars.

Pernod Ricard (-2.34% to 62.61 euros) a statement on Thursday its forecast annual operating profit thanks to the improved economic environment and its position in emerging markets.Its turnover in 2009-2010 emerged, up 2% on a comparable basis.

Ubisoft (-0.07% to 6.97 euros) issued a revenue increase of 94% in the first quarter of 2010-2011, to 161 million euros and confirmed its objective of a sales draft 160 million for the remainder of the year.

BioAlliance Pharma (0.91% to 5.53 euros) announced a record turnover of 15.2 million euros in the second quarter against 1.5 million a year earlier, after recording in April in U.S. Loramyc, headlight treatment of fungal infections in patients with oral cancer or AIDS.

As for ads, Alstom (3.73% to 38.55 euros) said it had won contracts valued at about 450 million euros for the construction of two units for a combined cycle power plant in India.

Air Liquide (1.15% to 87.78 euros) announced Friday the signing of a new contract with Russian steelmaker Severstal for investments worth 50 million euros in total.

Legrand (1.86% to 25.68 euros) Thursday announced a takeover offer for Indo Asian Switchgear India, where he produced nearly 4% of its annual turnover after the acquisition. Indo Asian Switchgea aims for 2010 sales of more than 35 million euros.

Maurel et Prom (0.53% to 9.45 euros) announced Thursday it had increased to approximately 70 million euros the amount of its issuance of convertible bonds to five years following the full exercise of the option overallotment.

The decision of the Central Bank of China down 0.12% Monday from the central rate of its currency, to bring it back to 6.78 yuan per dollar, is not trivial. It confirms that China believes that the resumption of the global economy is "very slow" in the words of his prime minister, Wen Jiabao.

Since June 19 last, the central rate of RMB, yuan's other name, is fixed daily by the bank that leaves fluctuate within a margin of plus or minus 0.5% vis-à-vis the greenback. Then she had gained 0.8% since that date, the Chinese currency fell Monday to its lowest level in two weeks, to 6.78 yuan per dollar.

The government fully controls the growth of his country. The measures taken to avoid overheating, especially in real estate, have borne fruit. The GDP (gross domestic product) grew by only Chinese 10.3% in the second quarter, against 11.9% in the first.

Wen Jiabao welcomes it, but he believes that his country because of "uncertainties" facing the world must "increase domestic demand, while stabilizing the foreign demand." But Monday, the State Information Center, an organization that depends on the Reform Commission and National Development, released a report which estimates that the growth of Chinese exports in the second half of this year will not exceed 16 3% by volume, against a leap of 35% for the first six months of the year. It does not explain its calculation, but it is clear that it expects a slowdown in trade flows in the world.It probably also fear the consequences of wage increases in Chinese enterprises on the competitiveness of the country pay day advance.

"We will pursue a fiscal policy that anticipates events and a lax monetary policy remains appropriately," recalled last week Wen Jiabao on the occasion of the visit of German Chancellor Angela Merkel. And to reaffirm its confidence in the euro area stressing that China was keen to diversify its huge foreign exchange reserves (2454 billion in late June) by buying other currencies than the dollar, Japanese yen and the euro particular.

Strong pressure

But the Chinese are concerned. The decline in consumer prices in the U.S. in June for the third consecutive month, makes them fear a risk of deflation in the U.S..Deflation, which leads consumers to indefinitely postpone their purchases and that discourages entrepreneurs from investing.

Beijing knows that long-term revaluation of the yuan will allow its exporters to improve the management of their enterprises to go upmarket and strengthen their competitiveness. This is the speech that he held the Americans and Europeans that add such an operation will also contribute to "reduce inflationary pressures from outside."

But in the short term the Chinese authorities think that the pressures are too strong. So, although it continues to assert that it will maintain a "regime of managed floating exchange rate, the speculation began to say that it will limit increases its currency to protect its exporters.

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Moody's has struck again. This time, the rating agency downgraded the credit rating assigned to the public debt of Ireland two notches to Aa2 from Aa1. The agency now shows a stable outlook, while they were negative before.

Moody's analysts explain this degradation by three factors. They rely on "the gradual loss and significant financial strength of the Irish government illustrated by rising deficits and the weakening of the country's repayment capacity." Growth prospects also weakened justify the gesture of the agency. The agency believes that the burden of debt relative to gross domestic product (GDP) is expected to stabilize around 95% to 100% within two to three years. Finally, doubts about the soundness of the banking system, following numerous recapitalizations of businesses have also influenced Moody's.The agency has referred to the substantial liabilities arising from the establishment of the NAMA (National Asset Management), a defeasance bank (or bank rotten ") service, which has to buy the Irish banks Tens of billions of subprime loans that they had accumulated before the credit crisis.

A budget deficit higher than that of Greece

In 2009, the budget deficit of Ireland, 14.3% of GDP was highest in the euro area, even superior to that of Greece, suffered a severe debt crisis. The Irish public debt has soared from 25% of GDP at end 2007 to 65% in late 2009.

Moody's has recently made several other cuts of notes on debt.The sovereign rating of Portugal has been degraded to A1 AA2 cons last week because of growth prospects remain relatively low and a deteriorating financial situation. Following the degradation cascade, investors may be less attentive to agency decisions.

Perhaps fears about the monthly employment figures expected with apprehension before market are already partly integrated into the course. The Dow Jones gained in effect to 15.45, 0.36% to 9767 points, the Nasdaq advance from 0.08% to 2103 points and the S & P 500 rose 0.24% to 1030 points.

The American economy has destroyed 125,000 non-agricultural jobs in June against 110,000 planned. This is the first time since the beginning of the year that the U.S. economy is destroying jobs and the number of registered job destruction last month was the highest since October 2009.

The private sector has created 83,000 jobs, however, against 33,000 in May and 112,000 expected by the market. Despite the job losses recorded in the month, the unemployment rate of 9.5% in June, its lowest level since July 2009, against 9.7% in May Economists expected a rate of 9.8%.

The figures, preliminary unemployment weekly published Thursday, however, very disappointed. "For three months, enrollment weekly unemployment are the yo-yo around a trend average of 462,000, economists are of Oddo Securities. The dismissal of the enumerators of the population, down sharply in June (see Chart 3 above), could affect these results, but, anyway, the job recovery seems decidedly weak. "

Europe and China in the minds

If the relatively low funding requests from European banks with the ECB reassured yesterday, the threat of a downgrading of the rate of Spain by Moody's, the clouds that accumulate on the growing global concern, however, more than never the United States.Several indicators, unemployment and housing U.S., in fact, yesterday, had a marked fall in European markets, while Wall Street has finally, paradoxically, proved to be more combative resistance payday loan lenders. The weakening of the greenback against the euro is perhaps helped. The late publication of monthly sales of car manufacturers, sharp rise, too.The sixth meeting of decline has been less severe than expected, the Dow ended down 0.42% to 9732 points and the Nasdaq fell 0.37% to 2101 points.

While the downward revision of growth prospects of China Conference Board had, following a calculation error, contributing to a decline in the markets earlier this week, China could reassure the contrary on Friday: it comes into effect to announce the revision of the growth of its gross domestic product from 2009 to 9.1% against a previous estimate of 8.7%.

Google buys ITA

As for values, Jeffrey Immelt, the head of U.S. conglomerate General Electric, has accused China to show hostility towards foreign companies, said Friday the Financial Times (FT), pushing the group to say that his comments had been distorted.The share lost 0.14% to 14.10 dollars.

The engine rechercheGoogle (-0.47% to 437.43 dollars) has announced the acquisition of ITA, a company specializing in information on air transport.

The publisher of games for iPhone Tapulous announced Thursday that he was bought by media giant Disney (+0.32% to 31.59 dollars) to become "leader in mobile entertainment." The terms of the transaction were not disclosed.

Sanofi-Aventis (-2.24% to 29.70 dollars) on Friday refused to comment on information from Bloomberg that the French pharmaceutical group preparing to acquire a U.S. company a value of at least 20 billion dollars. Allergan (6.88% to 62.10 dollars) and Biogen (6.70% to 49.86 dollars) are cited as potential targets

The French committee of manufacturers (CCFA) set the tone by announcing in May the first decline in the market over one year with a sales decline of 11.5% in the month of May On Thursday, the CCFA should announce at 24:01 new track to exit the sector with a heavy fall in the market about 10% in June according to preliminary figures announced by BFM. In its Thursday edition, the Parisian is a little less pessimistic and foresees a decline of 7.5%.

Throughout the first half, however, sales are expected to increase by 4% thanks to good figures at the beginning of the year. In the first quarter, the premium had already broken down, but the manufacturers had assured compensation. Result: the market had increased by 16.9%. The second quarter would be less attractive, the end of car scrapping seriously starting to feel their effects.

Renault is doing well

As for manufacturers, all the French have won market share. Renault is the one who gets the better of the game's pin manufacturer would have gained 1% market share. On June alone, its subsidiary Dacia has sold as many cars than the whole of 2009. According to Bernard Cambier, director of sales Renault France, the Sandero is indeed the best-selling car in France. In total, Dacia would hand over 5% of the French market.

As for foreign carmakers, Volkswagen resist well. Exports of German cars rose 46% in the month of May

Scrappage EUR 500

According to BFM, the prospects are not reassuring. In the second half, the reduction would be 20%. Nevertheless, the number of cars sold would be even higher CUX 2007 and 2008.For the full year 2010, the decline would be 10%.

The market expected a backlash over the second half of the year. The July 1 heralds a new drop in scrap bonus which amounts to 700 euros to 500 euros. More government aid declining, manufacturers are less able to compensate. In Europe, the example of Germany left pointing to an already difficult year-end. The country, which ended the scrappage scheme in September 2009, showed a slump of 34% of registrations in the month of May.

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The time of new measures to reduce costs will soon strike in France. The State must indeed save 100 billion euros by 2013 to reduce its deficit and meet European standards.

Claude Gueant, advisor to Nicolas Sarkozy, says the Financial Times on Monday that further savings measures are in preparation. They should be announced in the fall. It says in part: "France has pledged to reduce its deficit to 3% by 2013. We are determined to achieve this goal. "

Forecast question

For now, the government relies on its growth forecasts to find half the sum. But estimates of France are considered optimistic. The European Commission and the International Monetary Fund have both criticized the government's optimism.The economy minister, Christine Lagarde, has itself acknowledged Sunday at the Grand Jury RTL-LCI-Le Figaro, saying that the forecast 2.5% growth next year was "bold" .

Lower costs

The remaining 50 billion euros will come from the decline in public spending and tax increases. How the State plan to do it? A belief in "Les Echos", the government intends to confirm its target of 100,000 new layoffs of civil servants between 2011 and 2013, after the 100,000 already achieved in recent years. Moreover, the government plans to freeze spending between 2011 and 2013 to maintain transfers to local governments and increase only slightly the health expenditure.The state should also remove the tax loopholes to recover 5 billion euros per year and create a new tax on the wealthiest to raise 3.7 billion euros. Finally, the adjustment of tax evaders will recover, as reported by the Budget Minister Francois Baroin to France Info radio this weekend, "over 1 billion just on the folder HSBC.

The Financial Times points out that these measures should not be sufficient to reach 100 billion euros in savings by 2013. If Claude Gueant has not revealed the content of the proposed measures, economists believe that the state could proceed with a wage freeze for civil servants, their salaries account for nearly one third of public spending.

The crisis has cost France dear. No less than 6 percentage points of GDP between 2008 and 2010 and 3 points of tax revenue and social, as estimated by INSEE. "The growth restarts quite normally, but it remains the scar," said Thursday its chief executive, Jean-Philippe Cotis.

The warning on the accounts Krief Group launched by the auditors of the company may be only the first phase of legal setbacks Louis Petiet. Official Bulletin, the alert procedure "very advanced", according to "Echoes" is a prevention of business difficulties. Petiet Louis, through its group Bernard Krief Consulting (BKC)-since renamed Krief Group-has multiplied over the past three years the buyout on the brink of liquidation. And since early 2010, he faced great difficulties.

This is the case of Heuliez, which he eventually sold the shares to an investor, Charles Mirchi. The automaker, which Petit Louis has never made the 16 million euro capital promised to bar the commercial court, awaiting a new buyer.Other companies are being liquidated, as the chain of stores in Soho gadgets, or industrial Isotherma, Havre.

In Alsace, the former two problems DMC: DMC SA (ex-DMC thread) on one side and the other DMC fabric. Two companies taken over by Louis Petiet. The liquidators DMC SA before the Tribunal de Commerce de Paris. Louis Petiet has still not made the 8 million euros promised in the takeover of the company. Authorised agents would like the company is recapitalized by the current minority shareholders who would become the majority. Such an operation would be catastrophic for BKC to lose control of one of its only really profitable companies.'Stocks of DMC SA alone represent a real source of income for two years, "a close case.

In addition, an unsuccessful candidate for the redemption of DMC, the French manufacturer of textiles SA Blanchard, also before the court. It calls for the cancellation of the recovery plan by BKC and wishes to represent his own recovery plan. The court decided to consolidate the two cases and the next hearing will be held September 8 No faxing payday loans.

Broken Promises

Second case, the DMC Fabric, whose activities have been grouped with a sign of furniture, Authentica, within SAIC Velcorex. Louis Petiet hoped "synergies". Today, the liquidator "examines the responsibilities of Louis Petiet, including how he managed DMC Fabric and Authentica," said a source close to the record."Cash Authentica (advances paid by customers) would, a priori, was used to cover losses Velcorex SAIC," said the legal representative, which states that "it did nothing illegal, since it is the same company. However, this does nothing to the rules commonly applied by a transferee company in difficulty, meant to work on his recovery.

"After regaining Authentica, Louis Petiet did nothing for the company, not even changed the vehicle registration cards," said the liquidator. Louis Petiet highlights purchases of raw materials it was made for Authentica.What is relatively little in terms of commitments.

The alert procedure

The Commercial Code provides that the auditors (ACC)-expected to certify the company's accounts, can alert the president of a company if they find "facts likely to affect the continuous operation. The president has fifteen days to respond. Otherwise, or if the reply does not guarantee the continuity of the operation, the ACC is deliberating the board of directors (or supervisory) on the facts found. If the resulting provisions are not met or that the company's survival is threatened, the ACC establishes a special report. The Commercial Court may be entered. This can lead to legal redress.

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Rating agencies have a great influence on economic policy Bercy. Baroin, the budget minister, has himself acknowledged Sunday. And what about Standard & Poor's, Moody's and Fitch of the situation in France? Will they be inclined to leave him in the coming months, the privilege of his "Triple A, the highest mark possible, attributed to a very small country?

It depends, just, future government decisions. France has suffered less from the crisis than other countries in the euro area, greet agencies. The state has dampened with crisis recovery plan and welfare. The price: a high public deficit (7.5%), which must now reduce the risk of blowing up the already high public debt.

"Such imbalances require a recovery result of public finances, especially on the expenditure side, argue analysts from Standard & Poor's said in its latest report on France from July 2009. They said the debt should represent 90% of gross domestic product in 2011, against 78% today.

The government has already announced a freeze on public finances in late May, while spending on social security should continue to increase, says essentially Moody's in his March report, "which should result in an increase of 1% per year expenditure total. An objective "not particularly ambitious," says the agency, but nevertheless "should be difficult to take, given the unsuccessful efforts to control spending in the past."

"High levels of taxation"

Rating agencies do not seem to bear the greatest confidence in France, this country has two weaknesses, "the high level of taxation, which makes it difficult for future increases in taxes [to reduce the deficit, Ed] and expenditure rigidity, "is always Moody's. A suspicion reinforced by the presidential election of 2012, which could cause "potential expenditure," said Standard & Poor's.

The Fitch welcomes, however, "the intensification of social dialogue on public finance as an important step towards reversing the broad deficit" in a commentary published on May 28 She also applauded "the change in attitude of the government that understood the importance and urgency of fiscal adjustment."

Time is running out there? In the short term, "triple A in France is not in danger," wrote Moody's, often the last of three agencies to scale down its rating. Still, the separation between the country of degradation of the note is reduced "relentlessly," she says. At the rate of excavation of the debt.

The crisis in Greek and the euro area worry the president of the United States. "I am very concerned about what is happening in Europe," said Barack Obama during an interview Thursday with the Russian television channel Rossiya and released Saturday. The nervousness in global markets and the increasing concern of investors towards the debts of states caused by the Greek problem posing "serious threats" to the United States, "said Bush.

"I think the Europeans have realized that it was very serious. Greece takes measures very difficult in any case they have put in place a plan that calls for tough measures, "he acknowledged."If we can stabilize the situation in Europe, it will be good for the United States, and it will be good also for Russia."

Realizing the gravity of the situation, the EU should announce before markets open Monday morning, creating a "Community mechanism to intervene" to save the states on the brink of bankruptcy. The European Commission was working on an emergency this weekend to present a convincing ministers of the European economy, which meet on Sunday afternoon. Reflecting the importance of time, Silvio Berlusconi, Italian Prime Minister, and Nicolas Sarkozy, have decided not to travel to Moscow for commemorations of the end of the Second World War.

Week chaotic

European shares and U.S. were closed on very steep declines Friday.Protests against the rigor enameled three died in Athens on Wednesday, and unexplained sudden fall of the New York Stock Exchange during the day Thursday and fear of contagion from the crisis in Spain and Portugal have marked one week chaotic markets.

The statements have increased in recent days to encourage European leaders to act. "We hope to see emerge a strong and rapid European response to crisis", said, quoted by Bloomberg, the Canadian Finance Minister Jim Flaherty, who hosted the G7 on Friday. "We call for an answer as quickly as possible given the circumstances," insisted the Australian Minister for the Budget, Wayne Swan.

The Greeks accept the rigor

Nearly 55% of Greeks prefer an austerity plan to bankruptcy, according to a poll published Sunday in the daily Vima.Over 56% are even willing to accept wage cuts. Contradictory result, however, the same poll found that 53% of respondents felt the need to continue to protest against the austerity of the Papandreou government.