Company margins have never been so high, companies are full of cash, they were debt-free … and yet their share price despair managers. Some values, such as Peugeot, Air France and Lafarge are at their lowest for 20 years. "Since 1990, the profits of European companies have more than doubled, while the PE (valuations on the stock exchange), declined. But will there for years or decades to return to normalcy "asks Jacques Burlot, manager" action "Tocqueville Finance. The management company is nevertheless optimistic about business conditions. "Their margins may decline, but not collapse.There are of course cycles, but historically each drop, the level reached is higher than the previous "says Nelly Davies, also manager at Tocqueville, which lists all the supporting factors that benefit companies: inflation remains low, interest rates are at their lowest, the cost can be further reduced through outsourcing, wage inflation is zero and productivity gains have not been completed payday loans. However, managers are careful Tocqueville predicted a bright future for investors. "Trying to predict the future is a waste of time. Remember Goldman Sachs, which in March 2008 predicted oil at $ 200 a barrel at the end of the year. He had fallen to 50 dollars "they ironically. What to do? Forget the computer screens, and visit the companies consider their strategy, the quality of their management.
As with fast payday loans, this recently used to be the case, but competitive lenders and higher demand has taken this loan type to mainstay levels.A double crisis summit before the true summit! This is the shock treatment that Europe has inflicted over the last hour due to Greek crisis. Completely disrupting the predetermined agenda, European leaders met late Wednesday afternoon in Cannes on the eve of the official opening of the G20, to try to restore order in their home. The foundations of the euro have been greatly shaken by the surprise decision by Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou, to submit the agreement between EU leaders in Brussels on October 27, in a referendum. Called to come and explain this decision, the Greek ruler walked away from Cannes late Wednesday night.
In a press conference, Angela Merkel and Nicolas Sarkozy have shown a very high severity, both in form and substance. "We will not let destroy Europe and the euro," commented Nicolas Sarkozy.The Greeks have to say quickly and clearly if they choose or not to keep their place in the euro area. "
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The benchmark index of rents (IRL) continues its momentum. Indexed to inflation, the index increased by 1.90% yoy in the third quarter 2011, according to INSEE, its largest increase since the first quarter of 2009.
Following the same curve as the price index, the benchmark rents had fallen sharply during the crisis, before recovering from the first quarter of 2010. However, according to figures released Wednesday by INSEE, inflation emerged up 2.2% year on year in September, despite a slowdown during the past month.
Consequence of this increase in the IRL, the owners can raise rents to their tenants under lease, 1.90% maximum per year. This ceiling is not to be confused with the increase that may require the owner at the end of the lease, and which itself is not subject to this limit.
Rising rents slows
They are also in the process of marking time, like the sale price. The latest observation Clamor, the rents charged to new tenants were up 0.9% over the first eight months of the year, against 1.4% a year earlier. In 34% of cities in France, this trend is even negative. This is for example the case in Paris (-0.1%), Bordeaux (-0.9%) or Toulouse (-0.4%).
In other cities of the Hexagon, however, rents remain strong on the upside. This is the case in Lyon (+1.2%), Nantes (+1.7%), Lille (1.9%) or Le Havre (+2%). For the full year, Clamor expects an average increase of 1.5% to 1.8% against 2.5% in 2010.
The Observatory notes wide disparities between the cities but also between the quality of rented accommodation.Owners who make improvements before entering into a new lease rent on average well 9.3% more than the previous occupant. However, when the property is rented without work, its rental value decreases by an average of 5.4%.
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Future on major indices of the New York Stock Exchange indicate a slightly higher opening of U.S. markets on Wednesday. Like the European markets, Wall Street should not resist the Slovak Parliament on strengthening the European Financial Stability Fund (EFSF). Tuesday, after four sessions of strong gains in a row, Wall Street ended in a disorganized. Investors chose to garner a share of profits.
On the front of the debt crisis in the eurozone, Slovakia, a second vote could be held with the support of the left opposition. "It's not good news but I trust the authorities of Slovakia to hold a second vote," said Wednesday morning the French Minister of Foreign Affairs Alain Juppé on radio France Info.For its part German Chancellor Angela Merkel said that strengthening the EFSF be ratified "in October." The Slovak Parliament was the last to vote on the strengthening of the European relief fund. Indeed, the unanimity of the country is essential to confirm the agreement reached by the Heads of State on July 21 dernier.Berlin and Paris commitments marchésLes reassure the weekend by Germany and France had restored a little hope of financial markets. Last Sunday, Nicolas Sarkozy and Angela Merkel have in fact committed to respond "lasting and comprehensive peace" to the crisis in the euro area for the G20 summit in Cannes, 3 and 4 November. About the difficulties of the European banking sector, the two leaders said they were "determined to do whatever it takes to ensure the recapitalization of our banks."But again, the "details" to be specified later, and the EU summit scheduled for October 17 and 18 was postponed to October 23. After several missed appointments with the financial markets, Europe hopes this time strike a blow to stop the contagion of the crisis in the euro area.
The euro will always be a "hard currency", has also assured Angela Merkel, following Slovakia's rejection of strengthening financial relief funds in the euro area. On the foreign exchange market, the euro was virtually unchanged munching 0.05% against the greenback at 1.3658 dollars.
Alcoa opens the ball quarterly results
In the U.S., the season of quarterly results of large companies began Tuesday after the close of Wall Street. As usual, the aluminum giant Alcoa kicked-off for these publications.Including follow on Wednesday, PepsiCo, and Thursday, JPMorgan Chase and Google internet group and finally, Friday, Mattel. Analysts bet on an average increase of 13% earnings per share for the third quarter.
The group Alcoa reported, after market, a net quarterly profit of $ 172 million, an increase of 182% over a year and a decrease of 47% over the previous quarter. Revenues jumped 21% year on year to 6.4 billion. In 2011, Alcoa still expects growth of 12%.
For his part Infosys Technologies also announced after the market have achieved in the second quarter of fiscal year 2011-2012 (ending September 30) a net profit of 411 million dollars against 374 million last year while sales rose to 1.75 billion dollars against 1.5 billion a year earlier.For the full fiscal year 2011/12, the group expects a turnover of 7.08 to 7.2 billion dollars.
The Canadian Research In Motion listed on Wall Street, affected by major failures affecting the Blackberry, is facing a revolt by disgruntled shareholders calling for the sale or replacement of its executives while its action has already lost 60% since the beginning of the year.
For its part the world leader in lithography for semiconductor, ASML also listed on Wall Street believes that there will be a slowdown in growth in most segments of the semiconductor, with the exception of technologies related to tablets and smartphones. At the Amsterdam Stock Exchange gained 2.7% action to 27.25 euros in the morning.
Moody's has raised the spiral of fear by breaking down Tuesday night, three notches note the country of Silvio Berlusconi. Of course the capital of French banks are not sufficient to withstand the collapse of the third global bond market. But no one could. Want to increase bank capital to absorb that risk, it would be like worrying about the thickness of sandbags protecting a barricade when a nuclear explosion threat.
Beings consanguineous
Wait and bite the bullet. It is the only rational response. The pressure is so strong, however, that the government is trying to sweep these arguments make sense to force the banks to recapitalize. Why not finally, if that would reassure everyone and restored the flow in a system where banks no longer find lenders? Even better if it is a coordinated European action.But then, the market experts themselves have good problem turning in all directions for days: there is no guarantee that this would be enough to calm the speculation.
The crisis of today has nothing to do with that of 2008, when the suspicion was limited to the health of financial institutions. This time, banks are just the scapegoats for a crisis of confidence is most striking over-indebted States. Banks and States are beings inbred. Once recapitalized banks will continue to be viewed askance because of their exhibits sovereign will continue to suffer from higher funding costs because of concerns about their country, continue to be threatened by a rise in questionable provisions as the economy is sinking. It will probably recapitalize banks. But there is only one cartridge.Better not pull too early, when there are still many uncertainties elsewhere.
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This incident linked to the nuclear industry had caused a stir in the summer of 2008. On the night of July 7 to 8, at least 20,000 liters of effluent containing uranium were accidentally released into the environment by the company Socatri, a subsidiary of Areva, which deals with radioactive waste on the site of Tricastin in Bollene in the Vaucluse.
Rivers and ground water surrounding the uranium had been contaminated at levels above the standards of the World Health Organization (WHO).The court believes, however, that no "adverse effects on health" or "no damage to the fauna and flora" could not be found.
Acquitted at trial in October 2010 of the offense of "water pollution that caused an adverse effect on health or damage to flora or fauna," the Socatri was convicted Friday by the Court of Appeal of Nîmes , the offense of "discharge of toxic substances into groundwater causing a significant change in the normal operation of water supply guaranteed high risk personal loans." Areva's subsidiary was fined 300,000 euros, to pay 20,000 euros in damages to each of the plaintiffs associations (including Greenpeace and the Nuclear Exit) and 10,000 euros in moral damages to a dozen residents. Of these, several had been forbidden to consume the water they were drawing ground water from their property.Some seeking compensation following the decline in the value of their homes due to the incident.
The Nuclear Safety Authority (ASN), which classified the incident at 1 on the INES scale has seven who had criticized the Socatri him failing initially to provide information on pollution the environment.
Asia has finally been convinced by the rebound experienced by stock markets Monday in Europe and the United States. Shortly before 7 am (Paris time), and the Nikkei 225 gained 1.80% to 8524.16 points. The Hang Seng of Hong Kong Stock Exchange rose by its side of 2.81% to 2427.92 points. In Shanghai, the CSI 300 advances from 0.32% to 2619.27 points while the Kospi index in Seoul gained 3.44% to 1709.61 points. The day before, the Asian stock markets remained anchored in the red.
After heavy losses last week, investors marked a pause in fact, driven by renewed optimism about the debt crisis in the eurozone. Europe, for the voice of the spokesman for the European Commissioner for Economic Affairs, Olli Rehn, in fact, shows its commitment to strengthen the capacity of the relief funds in the euro area (EFSF).
Tokyo ready to buy bonds EFSF
The Japanese government has also indicated a willingness to buy more bonds relief fund if the European authorities in the euro area establish a mechanism to calm markets. "If a plan is launched to ease tensions in financial markets by helping Greece, I do not exclude that Japan is participating," said Tuesday the Japanese Minister of Finance, Jun Azumi. Japan already suffers from the crisis in Europe: the yen peaked against the euro, hurting Japanese exporters values. Monday, the European currency reached its lowest level since June 2001, at 102.18 yen. It is worth 103.28 yen Tuesday morning.
In terms of raw materials, oil falls sharply higher after having dropped more than eight dollars last week.A barrel of "light sweet crude" for delivery in November gained 1.15 dollars to 81.39 dollars in early electronic trading, having closed up 39 cents Monday. A barrel of Brent North Sea crude for November delivery, which ended virtually unchanged Monday (-3 cents), advances, meanwhile, 95 cents to 104.89 dollars.
All Americans should be involved in the effort to reduce the deficit. This is the message sent on Monday by Barack Obama from the White House Rose Garden. The U.S. president, who presented his program of deficit reduction, confirmed a tax plan of 1500 billion to the deficit of 3000 billion over the next ten years. "We can not get out of this abyss only by reducing spending. It is normal that we ask everyone to pay their fair share, "said the president.
In Focus: the wealthiest Americans. Barack Obama chose not to extend beyond the end of 2012, the expiration date, the tax breaks granted to wealthier by the administration of his predecessor, Republican George W. Bush (800 billion dollars and would be recovered over ten years)."We can not afford these tax rates low for the rich. We can not help us while we are suffering large deficits, "he says.
The most significant proposal remains the introduction of a tax, "Buffett," the name of the investor Warren Buffett who has proposed. As expected, Bush did not go into details about the conditions of its applications but according to the New York Times, the tax on millionaires that will concern only 0.3% of taxpayers.
"This is not the class struggle is mathematical"
Responding to criticism from his Republican opponents, who accuse him of wanting to punish those who have succeeded and discourage the "job creators," Barack Obama said that "it is not the class struggle is mathematics ".He said "any reform plan will increase revenues to help reduce our deficit. This must be part of the formula. " Democrat for President, "the middle-class taxpayers should not pay more taxes than millionaires and billionaires. It is loud and clear, and difficult to contradict. I will not support a plan that puts the entire burden of deficit reduction on the shoulders of the average American. "
The project also includes U.S. President down $ 580 billion in mandatory spending on social programs, including Medicare (health insurance for the elderly) and Medicaid (the federal program for the poor).But Barack Obama has warned that he would veto any proposal that would reduce these benefits without requiring an increased effort in return for the wealthiest Americans and big business.
The President was prepared to lower taxes on companies providing launch an overhaul of the tax code to eliminate some tax loopholes, such as offering tax exemptions to businesses through the acquisition of business jets (gain total of 700 billion). It is also banking on an economy 1.1 trillion dollars over ten years because of withdrawals from Afghanistan and Iraq.
Propostion of "not serious"
But the camp of the Republicans who control the House of Representatives, has already expressed his displeasure."Threatening to veto, massively increase taxes to save ghosts and build on a reform of social programs, it is not a recipe for economic growth and labor market," said the leader Senate Republicans, Mitch McConnell. John Boehner, chairman of the House of Representatives, it was found that the contribution of Obama's bipartisan commission was not "serious."
The proposals of the White House must still be forwarded to a bipartisan parliamentary committee which will meet in late November. This means that the bill is unlikely to be adopted in the state.
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Like its previous meeting, the hectic day ahead of the Paris markets. After opening sharply lower (-1.28%), the CAC 40 is pressed into the green, gaining 0.59% to 2911.87 points. In the morning, Moody's announced degradation by Moody's debt to Societe Generale and Credit Agricole. BNP Paribas, meanwhile, is kept under negative watch by rating agency. The agency kept under review with negative implications the long-term rating and deposits "Aa2". The uncertainty is still required on other European financial centers: the Frankfurt Dax loose 1.13% to 5131.48 points, the Madrid Stock Exchange lost 0.73% to 7777.3 points, the FTSE Milan Mib down 2.19% at 13,571 points, and the London FTSE-100 down 0.31% to 5157.85 points.
"This is a meeting of all the dangers that will open.The news of banks is particularly rich and the market will excuse the slightest spark to plummet again, "said one Paris-based analyst who requested anonymity told AFP. For his part, Christian Noyer judge that the situation of these banks is not likely to deteriorate further.On RTL, the governor of the Banque de France as well as Judge Moody's announcement is "a relatively good news", "French banks maintain an excellent rating and have the same level as the major European banks." It is the even Jean Leonetti: French Minister for European Affairs estimates that French banks are not in danger, considering the speculation responsible for the "excitement" today.
Beijing expected at the turn of the Italian debt
Moreover, markets are awaiting a decision from Beijing to buy-or-no Italian sovereign debt, "China will continue to increase its investments in Europe," said Premier Wen Jiabao, the opening of "Summer Forum" Davos in Dalian (north-east) on Wednesday.But he is hopeful that the leaders of major European countries consider their relationship with courage to China a strategic point of view. "
Another new fueling hopes of a crisis: the five emerging BRIC (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa) should discuss next week the opportunity to help the European Union by increasing their holdings of bonds denominated in euros.
Still on the debt of Athens, the Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou, French President Nicolas Sarkozy and German Chancellor Angela Merkel hold a conference call tonight to find a solution to the crisis. The meeting comes as fears or rumors speak out about the bankruptcy of Greece.After having set fire to the powder Monday citing the possibility of a default in Athens, Germany has tried to calm things down Tuesday by stressing, in the words of Chancellor Angela Merkel, that everything was done to prevent a collapse of Greece.
The euro declined against the dollar
On the macroeconomic front, the figures for industrial production in the euro area are expected. In Britain, unemployment figures for August will also be published.
United States, who saw their deficit increase again this summer, the figures for retail sales and producer prices for August will be announced early afternoon.Like stocks and sales of businesses, as well as the weekly inventory of crude oil guaranteed high risk personal loans.
On the foreign exchange market, the euro was down again this morning against the greenback at 1.3637 dollars, against 1.3682 dollars in New York the day before. The single currency also weakened against the yen at 104.81 yen against 105.19 yen yesterday in New York. The yen was also stable against the dollar at 76.86 yen to the dollar against 76.88 the previous day.
Oil prices were also down Wednesday, as markets always worried about the debt crisis in the eurozone and a possible bankruptcy of Greece, analysts said. In early electronic trading, a barrel of "light sweet crude" for delivery in October lost 71 cents to 89.50 dollars per barrel of Brent North Sea crude for October delivery 9 cents to 111.80 dollars."With the danger hovering over the Greek market, prices are highly volatile, very nervous," said Nick Trevethan, commodities analyst at ANZ Research in Singapore.
Values to follow
• Banking
Following the deterioration of Moody, the banking sector should be particularly under the spotlight for this session, with the front line Societe Generale (-2.09% to 17.52 euros) and Credit Agricole (3.14% to 5.31 euros). Maintained under negative watch, BNP Paribas (-3.64% to 26.98 euros) also said Tuesday it had asked the AMF to open an investigation after information on the liquidity of the bank published in the Wall Street Journal.In addition, BNP Paribas will reduce the size of its balance sheet of about 10% by the end of 2012 and expects to achieve a capital adequacy ratio of 9% under the new banking regulations of Basel III soon 1 January 2013, the French bank said in a presentation document. Societe Generale and Credit Agricole.
• Areva (-1.90% to 20.60 euros)
EDF prepares to place an order for more than one billion euros in the nuclear group Areva for the purchase of 32 steam generators, Le Figaro said on Wednesday.The choice of Areva will be endorsed on Sept. 28 by the Board of Directors of the electrician needs to change 32 of its 44 steam generators in its power to 1300 MW.
• Renault (-0.14% to 24.81 euros)
The manufacturer wants to improve its stock market value and change the structure of the alliance with Nissan is not the main lever to get there, told Reuters the CEO of Renault, Carlos Ghosn, the car show in Frankfurt. He also said the group looked for ways to adjust the structure of the Renault-Nissan.
• Vinci (0.47% to 31.81 euros)
The group won a contract worth 108 million euros for the construction of systems of wastewater treatment in the Dominican Republic.
• CNP Assurances (0.44% to 10.29 euros)
The Standard & Poor's said Tuesday night that confirmed the rating of "AA-" from the French insurer.
• Club Med (2.66% to 12.15 euros)
The leisure group has published on Wednesday sales down slightly in the third quarter, its activity has been particularly impacted on travel to Morocco, Tunisia and Egypt, against the backdrop of geopolitical turmoil. Turnover fell by 1.9% in third quarter (-0.3% at constant currency) to 323 million euros.
After two sessions of gains, the Paris Bourse off again into negative territory on Friday and leaves 0.6% to 3068.79 points in early trade. Yesterday, the CAC 40 was able to stay the course despite the announcement of a downward revision of growth expectations in the euro area by the Fed chairman, Jean-Claude Trichet. Investors heartedly welcome the details of the employment plan unveiled by U.S. President Barack Obama in the night. He introduced a bill on the release of 447 billion dollars for the Americans out of unemployment."This plan will give an electric shock to an economy that has stalled, will give confidence to businesses on the fact that if they invest and hire, there will be customers for their products and services," assured the U.S. president to members of Congress .
As in Asia this morning, traders seem to doubt the implementation of this plan. Its funding is already generating questions from Republican opponents could block a vote. Barack Obama urged them to adopt "immediately". The U.S. president also announced that it will issue on September 19 "a deficit reduction plan more ambitious."
The health of America's economy is strong markets. Any further announcement is expected with great excitement. Yesterday Wall Street has finished in the red after being disappointed by the vague speeches of Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke.The latter did not give details on the measures it would implement to support growth, as they waited.
Inflation slows in China
Still on macroeconomic, Japan has this morning reported a decline of 2.1% of GDP in the second quarter 2011 annualized. This is more than the 1.3% decline initially estimated. The main factor weighing on GDP has been the decline in exports (-4.9% from January to March).
In China, rising consumer prices, the main barometer of inflation, which had accelerated in recent months, slowed slightly to 6.2% in August. Industrial production is she up 13.5% in August.
On the agenda are Friday's industrial production in France in July and inventories of wholesalers in the United States.
As for currencies, the euro has stabilized under $ 1.40, to 1.3896 dollar.Oil rises on the other hand, supported by a surprise drop in U.S. inventories. In early electronic trading, a barrel of "light sweet crude" for delivery in October gained 23 cents to 89.28 dollars per barrel of Brent North Sea crude for October delivery 21 cents to 114.76 dollars.
Values to follow
• TF1 (-4.3%), M6 (-2.25%) Bolloré (0.8%), Vivendi (-1.1%); NextRadioTV (-1.4%)
Chains react in a disorganized to take control of Direct 8 Direct and Star, two DTT channels free of the Bolloré Group, Canal +. The subsidiary of Vivendi will have three DTT frequencies. Be as much as TF1 and M6 more than the group which, in addition to the namesake chain, has only W9. For this operation, fully financed by shares, a stake Bolloré group Vivendi.
• Total (0.9%) signed the largest increase
The Anglo-Dutch oil group Shell said Friday that oil was discovered off the coast of French Guiana, during exploratory drilling at about 150 km off the coast.
• Sopra (1.81%)
The group announced the takeover of Delta, specialized in banking software. The transaction is expected to close in early October 2011, will be financed from existing credit lines of business consulting, IT services and software.
• Pierre & Vacances (-0.33%)
The group, which operates much of the accommodation ski resorts, opened 369 new tourist residences furnished this winter.
• ArcelorMittal (-1.7%)
The group will close as of October 3 for an indefinite period and the second blast furnace at its site in Florange (Moselle), according to a union source quoted by AFP.
• EADS (+0.8%) on the second step of the podium
The group said on Thursday not want to use all of its $ 16 billion (11.45 billion euros) in cash for acquisitions.