The new government should be made official today, before the meeting of Ministers of the euro area to be held from 16 hours in Brussels to discuss the strengthening of the European support fund (EFSF).

In France, Prime Minister Francois Fillon on Monday will unveil a second multi-year austerity plan. New measures could include an accelerated implementation of pension reform.

Oil markets, a barrel of "light sweet crude" rose 24 cents to 94.50 dollars in early electronic trading. The price of Brent North Sea on the other hand wins $ 1.31 to 113.28 dollars. The euro remains fragile: the euro is worth 1.3757 dollars against 1.3788 dollars on Friday night.

For several months, the pressure rises. French banks are caught between access to dollar funding more difficult and more expensive as well as compliance with the new banking criteria, which leads them to reduce the size of their balance sheets by arbitrating between their trades. Over those that involve the preservation of long-term assets in dollars, typically aircraft.Because the dollar is the currency of reference in aeronautics.

The dollar, currency of

Societe Generale announced in mid-October cut its financing by air. BNP Paribas would seek to exchange air assets against dollar assets denominated in other currencies. Markets are concerned. What would the impact of a withdrawal, even partial, of Airbus, of which 17% of deliveries were financed by French banks in the last 18 months? Indeed, everything is played on delivery. This is when the company spends between 65 and 70% of the price of the aircraft ordered several years ago and for which a timetable has been set following the first installment (5 to 10%) paid at the signing the contract.

Measures François Hollande

The Institute has calculated the company eight measures developed by the Socialist candidate in the primary. First, the creation of 12,000 teaching positions per year, or 60,000 on the five-year term. This would cost 360 million euros per year, cumulative $ 1.8 billion in 2017. "These new posts create an implicit debt to the State, which undertakes to pay the pensions of these agents when they reach retirement age," says the Institute. The rating is saltier contracts for generation, exempting charges for three years as a young recruit companies while maintaining a senior job.This measure, the five-year cumulative, burden on public finances from 30.5 to 33 billion.

Another strong measure: the extension of the RSA under 25 years of activity without preconditions. The Enterprise Institute estimates that 120,000 to 200,000 young people could be affected, which would represent an annual cost of 528 to 876,000,000. With "a serious risk of imprisonment in a youth inactivity trap and a significant risk of fraud", the RSA representative "70% of the money diverted to family allowance." The Institute also estimated the cost of the massive development of renewable energy and reducing from 75 to 50% of the nuclear power generation by 2025. The bill? 10.9 billion a year.If this effort can reduce French imports of energy, it will be "on the other hand a negative effect on the purchasing power of households, through the rising cost of energy bills," warns the IDE.

The measures of the Socialist Party

Winner of the primary, Francois Hollande has not yet specified what action the program he intended to resume the PS paperless payday loans. The Institute has calculated the company in the main. The establishment of a public early childhood, a key measure of the project would cost between 4.5 and 5 billion per year. Half the budget of the justice! The bulk of the bill would come from the creation of 360,000 childcare places (3.8 billion per year … just by operating costs), welcoming children from 2 years to kindergarten cost him, by 720 million year.Much controversy as the assistant accused of favoring the creation of a study allowance for trainees is paradoxically less expensive. The Institute's $ 1.3 billion per year. The reason? This new allowance would replace other aid, and especially young people concerned only with limited resources. The bill would particularly high, however (9.6 billion per year), if the allowance was extended to all students, warns the Institute.

In a more traditional vein, the PS promotes the appreciation of the disabled adult allowance (AAH) and better care for older people, through the personal autonomy allowance (APA).According to the Institute, which takes the hypothesis of a revaluation of these allowances by 20% over five years, the AAH would cost $ 1.7 to $ 1.9 billion a year more, and the APA, 1, 5-2100000000.

Cell quantification of presidential projects, implemented by the Institute of the company, will now address the evaluation of the revenue side of the PS program. The question is whether Francois Hollande planned 30 billion of resources to balance its balance sheet. Last outstanding issue: the institute did not look back on the pension reform, suggested by the PS but never clearly put on the table by François Hollande. If this were the case, the encryption would rise much faster.

"DOCUMENT – The costing of proposals of the socialist project

Investors take note of the willingness of finance ministers and central bankers of the twenty leading economies, meeting in Washington last Thursday, to provide "a strong and coordinated international response" to the crisis. In a joint statement, they agreed to ensure that "banks have adequate capital" and promised to provide "the necessary liquidity" to financial institutions.But "the real decisions are referred to the Summit of Heads of State and Government to be held in Cannes, November 3 and 4, 'the specialists Aurel BGC.

To a stability fund in Europe more flexible

The Perfect Storm, the large emerging group of "Bric" also expressed "determination to accelerate structural reforms to sustain strong growth." Brazil, Russia, India and China but also South Africa so consider "if necessary, to provide support through the IMF or other international financial institutions, to address the current challenges facing the global financial stability, according to the circumstances of each country. "The inventor of the BRIC, Jim O'Neill, chairman of Goldman Sachs Asset Management, said however that emerging markets are likely to require at least, in exchange for their support, greater clarity on how the Europe has to solve its crisis.

Precisely in response to a request from seven countries of the G20 addressed to Nicolas Sarkozy, the countries of the euro area have pledged to implement "necessary measures to increase the flexibility of the European Financial Stability Fund (EFSF)" to to avoid contagion from the crisis in Greece. Yesterday, the possibility of a defect in Athens, though long ruled by EU leaders, was raised by Klaas Knot, Member of the Board of Governors of the European Central Bank (ECB)."This is one of the scenarios," he told the Dutch newspaper Het Financieele Dagblad business cards.

Growth of world trade declined Another concern: the specter of a global recession was reinforced by the World Trade Organization (WTO) has revised downwards its forecast for this Friday trade growth for 2011, s 'expecting a growth of world trade by 5.8% against 6.5% forecast so far, according to its website internet.Sur the foreign exchange market, the euro climbed slightly against the U.S. dollar: it advances the Friday from 0.57% to 1.3533 dollar. Oil prices have them, continued to slump, unable to bounce back after the collapse of the previous day as markets increasingly anxious in facing the risk of renewed recession in the U.S. and Europe.On the New York Mercantile Exchange (Nymex), a barrel of "light sweet crude" for November delivery ended at 79.85 dollars, down 66 cents from the forward veille.Valeurs

The side of values, after the close of the NYSE Hewlett-Packard announced the replacement of Leo Apotheker as CEO from Meg Whitman, confirming the many rumors that had circulated in recent days.

At Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) is Rick Bergman Devices, responsible for products, who announced his resignation. The CEO will temporarily Rory Read office.

Covidien raised its quarterly dividend 12.5% ​​to 0.225 dollar per share.And, for its part McDonald's has increased its 15% to $ 0.7 per share.

In order to treat its shareholders well, Raytheon has authorized a stock repurchase plan of $ 2 billion.

The American manufacturer of sporting Nike has exceeded market expectations by posting yesterday after the close of U.S. markets net income for the first quarter of fiscal year up 15% to $ 645 million, driven by its Sales in North America and in emerging countries. Revenues rose 11% to $ 6.1 billion.Orders scheduled for delivery between September 2011 and January 2012 were up 16% to $ 8.5 billion.

On the occasion of a major overhaul of its website, Facebooks'est services associated with music, news and video, including Spotify, Deezer and Dailymotion, and challenge from Apple in the content.

ALSO READ:

"FILE – Crisis: Fear of debt

In Focus: the wealthiest Americans. Barack Obama chose not to extend beyond the end of 2012, the expiration date, the tax breaks granted to wealthier by the administration of his predecessor, Republican George W. Bush (800 billion dollars and would be recovered over ten years)."We can not afford these tax rates low for the rich. We can not help us while we are suffering large deficits, "he says.

The most significant proposal remains the introduction of a tax, "Buffett," the name of the investor Warren Buffett who has proposed. As expected, Bush did not go into details about the conditions of its applications but according to the New York Times, the tax on millionaires that will concern only 0.3% of taxpayers.

"This is not the class struggle is mathematical"

Responding to criticism from his Republican opponents, who accuse him of wanting to punish those who have succeeded and discourage the "job creators," Barack Obama said that "it is not the class struggle is mathematics ".He said "any reform plan will increase revenues to help reduce our deficit. This must be part of the formula. " Democrat for President, "the middle-class taxpayers should not pay more taxes than millionaires and billionaires. It is loud and clear, and difficult to contradict. I will not support a plan that puts the entire burden of deficit reduction on the shoulders of the average American. "

The project also includes U.S. President down $ 580 billion in mandatory spending on social programs, including Medicare (health insurance for the elderly) and Medicaid (the federal program for the poor).But Barack Obama has warned that he would veto any proposal that would reduce these benefits without requiring an increased effort in return for the wealthiest Americans and big business.

The President was prepared to lower taxes on companies providing launch an overhaul of the tax code to eliminate some tax loopholes, such as offering tax exemptions to businesses through the acquisition of business jets (gain total of 700 billion). It is also banking on an economy 1.1 trillion dollars over ten years because of withdrawals from Afghanistan and Iraq.

Propostion of "not serious"

But the camp of the Republicans who control the House of Representatives, has already expressed his displeasure."Threatening to veto, massively increase taxes to save ghosts and build on a reform of social programs, it is not a recipe for economic growth and labor market," said the leader Senate Republicans, Mitch McConnell. John Boehner, chairman of the House of Representatives, it was found that the contribution of Obama's bipartisan commission was not "serious."

The proposals of the White House must still be forwarded to a bipartisan parliamentary committee which will meet in late November. This means that the bill is unlikely to be adopted in the state.

ALSO READ:

"Obama will spend 447 billion for employment

"Exemptions from charges, a key measure of the Obama plan

"SPECIAL CRISIS: fear of debt

Natixis economist Patrick Artus has decrypted this scenario in an analysis published Monday.Taking into account the levels of debt, public deficits and outside Greece, he felt that Athens should depreciate its currency by 55% to balance its accounts. For now, the country will wipe a deep recession "for the next 18 months." It is characterized by a drop in growth and "a sharp decline in purchasing power" due to inflation, a consequence of the devaluation ("with a surge in import prices by about 30%" ) and monetization of public debt as the deficit persists. Similarly, the bank UBS in a note published evoked early September at a cost of 9,500 to 11,500 euros per person the first year of a release of the European currency.

A scenario "imaginable" and "sustainable"

According to Patrick Artus, this bad patch should then be completed at the end of "two or three years," with a resumption of growth.But for Europe, the bill would be salty, since leaving the euro, Greece should convert its debt in its new currency. Which would cost banks and institutional investors in the euro area some 166 billion euros, according to the devaluation held by Natixis.

An output of the euro remains of Athens "imaginable" and "sustainable", argues Patrick Artus. However, "[he] would not attempt the coup," he insists, for fear that the markets get the idea that other countries in difficulty, in turn, leave the single currency. With online focus, Italy and Spain (under perfusion of the ECB through a program to purchase obligation), the output of the euro is, this time, "not at all imaginable, "given the size of their economies.

Public expenditure or fiscal austerity?

For the economist, only a policy of renewed growth in Greece would head out of the water."We must stop this hard to Athens on the reduction of the deficit, he loses his temper. We are killing the country. Instead of giving him three years to reduce its deficit, which gives him six, and that helps companies to find the path of growth and competitiveness. "

A view shared by economist Nouriel Roubini, calling to reactivate the lever of public spending on pain of falling into a "Great Depression". Tance but Jürgen Stark, the former chief economist of the ECB, for whom "a fiscal stimulus would only increase the level of debt and would therefore only increase those risks further." Whatever decision the euro area, it will in all cases act quickly to prevent the "taboo" from turning into disasters scenarios.

Roadmap drastic

The ECB seems to blame the previous plans of Silvio Berlusconi to be inadequate, too general, too spread out over time.As she raises her conditions. First, she asked Silvio Berlusconi to proceed by order, immediately applicable, not Bill (DDL), that Parliament is still time to approve. It then lists the reforms it expects Italy. In terms of privatization, she cites municipal corporations (public transport, roads, electricity supply, with the exception of water which will remain public).

With regard to the Labour Code in force since 1970, the ECB requires to make more flexible the procedures for dismissal and to focus on agreements in companies with sectoral agreements negotiated at the national level. This is a crucial point: Sergio Marchionne, boss of Fiat, continues to denounce the rigidity of hiring and layoffs.

By asking such requirements, the ECB ventures into unfamiliar ground.But it does not matter to the hawks in Frankfurt to fly to the rescue of Rome by putting huge sums into play if Italy does not comply with a roadmap drastically. Nicolas Sarkozy and Angela Merkel pushed in that direction. In their joint statement on Sunday night, they emphasized that the return of Italy to a balanced budget in 2013 was an important "fundamental" for markets and called for "a rapid implementation and complete" the measures announced Friday by Silvio Berlusconi.

This intervention boosted the opposition: "What we really require the ECB and the international institutions? A government powerless now totally discredited and Trust must at least say what the real situation, "said the press head of the Democratic Party, Pierluigi Bersani.As for the former European Commissioner Mario Monti, he now believes that Italy is governed by a "foreign Podesta."

ALSO READ:

"The ECB tries to curb the contagion in the euro zone

Standard and Poor's, which had warned in April that it was considering lowering, justified its decision with "political risks" to see the country taking insufficient measures against its budget deficit. For her, the political debate on these issues is not up to the problems caused by a debt of more than 14,500 billion. "The plan for balancing the budget on which Congress and the Executive have recently agreed is insufficient compared to what, in our view, would be needed to stabilize the dynamics in the medium term public debt" said S & P, citing the law known as "control the budget" passed Tuesday.

S & P is the second rating agency to downgrade the American note, after the Chinese – less powerful – Dagong.Other – mostly American and French Moody's Fitch – are currently at Triple A.

The U.S. public debt to more than 100% of GDP

The first power of the world is, well, so sure before. The United States and joined Japan, Spain and Ireland have lost that status envied no fax payday loan. The loss of this seal of excellence is expected brutal impact on the financial markets, difficult to imagine right now. But while the financial world is upside down, the risk that markets continue to dive is high. The announcement of S & P comes in effect when the markets were closed for the weekend, closing on both sides of the Atlantic one week black.

China, by far the world's largest creditor United States, found that she had "every right now to require the United States to address their structural problems of debt."Second World holder of U.S. debt, Tokyo assured him that his confidence in the U.S. Treasury and its strategy of purchasing these bonds were unchanged. In France, the Minister of Economy Baroin reiterated his "total confidence in the strength of the U.S. economy."

Two days ago, the U.S. debt has passed a symbolic milestone. Because it exceeded the threshold of 100% of GDP, just after raising the debt ceiling by Congress. The United States saw their public finances sealed by the harsh recession that crossed their economy from late 2007 to mid-2009. Since then, economic growth has returned, but they are not able to restore the health of their public finances. According to estimates by the International Monetary Fund, they should acknowledge this year, with about 9% of GDP, the highest budget deficit of the G20 countries, except Japan.It is sixteen countries rated "AAA" by Standard and Poor's, four of the G7: Germany, Canada, France and Great Britain.

(With AFP and Reuters)

ALSO READ:

"Why the threat of recession resurfaced

"The world as seen by the rating agencies

"The agency Fitch confirmed the triple-A U.S.

"The U.S. debt above 100% of GDP

But investors remain cautious as Barack Obama has not convinced the issue of debt. In a speech to the nation live from the White House, Bush denounced the attitude of the Republicans that led to an impasse "dangerous". The world's largest economy may end up in default within a week if no agreement is reached on raising the debt ceiling, an event "irresponsible" by the president. Facing him, the chairman of the House Republican John Boehner, remained inflexible. He accused Barack Obama face of intransigence solutions proposed by his party."The sad truth is that the president wants a blank check. This will not happen, "he said.

Faced with the growing nervousness of the markets, it has however promised to submit to the Senate and the president a bill to avoid a default. "If the president promulgates it, the atmosphere of crisis it has created will disappear of itself," he said. Barack Obama also wanted to be reassuring: "I told the leaders of both parties that they must reach a compromise in the coming days, which can be passed by both houses of Congress, a compromise that I can enact. And I'm sure we can seal this compromise. "

In addition to the markets, the United States are now under pressure from the IMF suggests that a "severe shock" if no agreement is reached on time.The institution has also damaged its projections for the U.S. national debt.

The dollar attacked

The dollar is suffering in this context. The dollar briefly fell below 78 yen Tuesday, its lowest level since March 17, when President Barack Obama spoke to Americans. The euro has also appreciated against the greenback at 1.4420 dollars against 1.4375 dollars late Monday. "The president's speech Obama has disappointed market expectations of progress hoping to break the deadlock," said Hideki Hayashi, an economist at the brokerage Mizuho Securities, quoted by Dow Jones Newswires.

Oil prices were, themselves, without direction in electronic trading in Asia, the market continued to worry about the lack of agreement. A barrel of "light sweet crude" for delivery in August took 15 cents to 99.35 dollars.That of Brent North Sea crude for September delivery lost 29 cents to 117.65 dollars.

Investors also will keep an eye on the indicators of the day:

– The morale of French households is somewhat back in July after months of stability, with a gain of 3 points in the index that measures at 86 points, according to data released Tuesday by INSEE. But that level remains low.

– The number of starts of new homes rose 13.4% year on year in France for the period April to June, said Tuesday the Department of Housing.

Coming to the United States: the index of house prices and new home sales. Also the program overseas indices of investor confidence and consumer.

Values ​​to follow

The banks are recovering from their fall the day before.Crédit Agricole (1.64% to 9.06 euros), BNP Paribas (1.48% to 47.39 euros), Société Générale (1.39% to 36.77 euros), Axa (1, 28% to 13.88 euros) and Natixis (1.26% to 3.29 euros) are the highest increases in the ACC.

Faurecia: -1.55% to 29.87 euros

The automotive supplier has revised up its forecasts Tuesday turnover for 2011 between 15.7 and 15.9 billion euros and operating margin, after a good first half. But the forecast annual cash flow is lowered.

Veolia: 0.67% to 18.16 euros

The city of Warsaw has chosen Dalkia, Veolia and controlled by EDF, to buy the operator of its district heating network, the company SPEC, according to sources familiar with the matter.

Orpea: 0.20% to 34.44 euros

The investment company said it had taken FFP 6% stake in Orpea, a company specializing in the treatment of addiction, for a total of 88 million euros.

TF1: 5.30% to 13.40 euros

The television group has published a net profit up 60% to 118.6 million euros, but a turnover in a very slight decline (-0.5%), 1.3 billion euros, for the first half of 2011.

STMicroelectronics: -6.53% to 53.97 euros

The group said Monday second-quarter sales in line with analysts' expectations, but said that they could fall during the current quarter.

LVMH: 0.15% to 130.75 euros

The group said on Monday maintained at 12.25 euros per share price of its tender offer to purchase the remaining shares of the Italian jeweler Bulgari and denied having purchased from the family part of the shares at a higher price. It will publish its results after market close the first half.

Klépierre: 0.55% to 27.56 euros

The group reported Monday, against all odds, a growth of almost 4% of its rental income, supported by the increase in rents in shopping centers in an economic context, however, marked by the slowdown in consumption in Europe.(See

Mercialys: -0.81% to 29.40 euros

The group identified Monday its growth target for this year after reporting a growth of over 9% of its rental income in the first half and its Board of Directors decided to distribute an interim dividend for 2011 .

SEB: -7.10% to 67.62 euros

The group released Monday interim results up, thanks to its good performance in emerging markets, and is confident for the full year.

Faiveley Transport: -3.99% to 62.50 euros

The group confirmed Monday forecast for 2011 a slight increase in sales, just over a month after a warning about shifts orders.

April Group: -2.13% to 17.03 euros

The group recorded an increase of 1.3% of its turnover to 377.8 million euros, a jump of 8.2% in brokerage on which the group has refocused more than offsetting the decline 9.6% in insurance premiums.

After market, Sopra Vinci and publish their turnover for the second quarter, Gascogne, Euler Hermes, Spir Communication, TV and Radio Next Icade unveil the results of the second quarter, M6 will report its results in the first half.

ASN emphasizes the responsibility of employers, including Bouygues, which controls the civil works on site and Elco Construct. "In many cases (at least 11 examples for the group Bouygues and 8 Elco), these employers were informed of the accident.They also had knowledge of the regulatory requirement to report any accident, "wrote the Authority, adding that this proves" intent to evade the information of the inspector's work and thus to divert the surveillance "of it.

Bouygues denies responsibility

In January, when another worker, 37, died after falling from 13 to 15 meters that the CGT Bouygues accused of being responsible for the accident, and claimed to have provided the Justice documents showing that the giant construction labor law trampled on the site of Flamanville cheapest personal loan rates. A spot investigation for "manslaughter" was opened by the prosecutor of Cherbourg. And last April, ASN insiqué it was beginning an investigation of "under-reporting of accidents at the site of the EPR."

At EDF, prime contractor for the project is ensured then "make every effort" to improve the situation. The site manager was replaced a few months ago. But according to Bouygues, which controls the civil engineering of this project over 3000 workers, non-reporting of accidents "are personal initiatives." Twenty people-safety recall "regular" instructions. According to the unions, a dozen subcontractors are involved in these accidents.

ALSO READ:

"An employee is killed on site EPR

"Accidents at work: survey at the site of the EPR

"Nuclear: Sarkozy wants an audit of the Court of Auditors

"Yard of the EPR: a moment of silence