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The growth figure of France for the first quarter, published this morning, was highly anticipated: it sets the tone of the beginning of the quinquennium the new president. And with sluggish growth in the first three months of the year (after a small increase of 0.1% the last three months of 2011, revised downwards), the least we can say is that the situation will not help Francois Hollande to the implementation of its program. None of the drivers of growth and gives no sign of strength: consumer expenditures of households are "sluggish" (0.2% in the first quarter, after +0.1% the previous one), while investment companies folds (-1.4%), INSEE said. And if imports return to growth, they do not offset the slowdown in exports sufficiently to prevent the trade weighs on growth. As for the production of goods and services, it turns "idle". In total, the growth overhang at the end of March – that is to say, the theoretical progression of GDP if the activity remained stable until the end of the year – amounted to 0.2%.

This stagnation of activity is not a surprise: the National Institute of Statistics had anticipated in March, when it published its quarterly notes on "the fever subsides, recovery will be slow." But the institute did not know then is that this turn of events in Greece could slow it down even further … If the time is not yet at risk of contagion to the Hexagon, "he Avoid the chaotic moments that disturb everyone, Greece is 2% of EU GDP, but this may be part of the little things that become large if not managed properly, "said an official of Bercy.

Dealing with an uncertain

Still, Francois Hollande will have to deal with an uncertain environment low fee cash advance. While the European Commission approved last week forecast growth of 0.5% this year, she expressed doubts about the ability of the new government to reach the figure of 1.7% growth in 2013. However, Francois Hollande believes in his ability to bounce activity. His lieutenant, Michel Sapin, cites as evidence the industrial policy announced by the candidate – more favorable, he said, growth – and European initiatives to materialize before he sees the end of next year, thanks an agreement between France and Germany.

In fact, the new team has no choice if she wants to meet his campaign promises and not be forced to reconsider all of its forecasts. Less growth because it means more unemployment, more deficit and more debt.

To balance its budget equation and honor commitments of public finances – down to 3% of GDP next year – François Hollande planned 29 billion in additional revenue by the end of 2013. But the task is of great magnitude. INSEE has confirmed that the government deficit in France at the end of 2011 stood at 103.1 billion euros, or 5.2% of GDP (decreased by 33.9 billion euros compared to 2010) , "because both the revenue buoyancy and expenditure restraint." It must come down to 4.5% this year. Public debt, it has reached 86% of GDP in 2011. Francois Hollande can not afford any off the road.

Especially since only a few hours meeting with Angela Merkel, Germany has put pressure on France: in the first quarter the economy across the Rhine has seen its GDP grow by 0.5%, bringing its growth on a rolling year to 1.7%. Numbers well above economists' forecasts.

The new president, Francois Hollande, he will see in the figures released Thursday one more reason to fight to include a growth component in the European priorities? He will find anyway confirmation that we will have to roll up their sleeves for the activity to return to France.

The Banque de France (BDF) has announced a forecast of zero growth of the economy in the second quarter 2012 – INSEE, it provides a small rebound in the spring, 0.2%. The BDF had previously announced a steady growth for the first quarter. That is to say that the French might be sluggish activity in the first six months of the year.

The unknown Greek

To quote the head of its program, Michel Sapin, a few days ago, Francois Hollande will have no state of grace on the economic front! The latter based his economic program on a growth forecast of 0.5% this year (followed by 1.7% next year and 2% in 2014 and 2% to 2.5% thereafter until 2017 ). A hypothesis that remains credible, unless the Greek turbulence does just weaken the entire euro zone.

In tests conducted by the Banque de France, the prospects in the services today are estimated by "slight erosion". As for industry, they indicate that the order books do not evolve and are also counting on "a slight decline in activity for the coming months easy payday loans."

The National Institute of Statistics, parallel, published a study that confirms this gloom. In March, the production of the entire industry declined (-0.9%), consumption of electricity and gas has "declined sharply with the warm weather." Production of manufacturing industry, it has increased over one month (1.4%), but it is only to offset the decline in February.

Judgment of the Petit Couronne refinery

Moreover, throughout the first quarter, production fell 0.5% in manufacturing. A sharp decline (-1.7%) compared to what the production of the first quarter of 2011. In one year, some areas have suffered more: the production has fallen sharply in electrical, electronic and computer (-1.7%) and to a lesser extent, transport equipment (-0.6%). Refining, marked especially by cessation of the Petit Couronne refinery, fell sharply (-18.4%), also stresses the INSEE. Conversely, the agricultural and food industries have their own in the game

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"The year 2012? It will be for managers of private two-tier one year, with a side business confident in their investment and hiring, and the other companies in the uncertainty and lack of visibility on their backlog. I think this is true for regions: some are well oriented, others display recruitment forecasts downward, "says Pierre Lamblin, Director of Studies of Apec. According to the Association for the employment of executives, three regions are traditionally large purveyors of jobs: the Ile-de-France, Rhône-Alpes and Provence-Alpes-Cote d'Azur (PACA), with 45% of GDP and over half of employment in the private sector framework.

Occupational mobility

This year, the Paris Region companies provide hiring 67,900 to 87,800 frames. "Although the Ile-de-France is a region of opportunities, we note that some executives to leave the better quality of life from 35-40 years. Conversely, applying the Paris region makes sense for executives in the provinces, for example after a hiccup or when the ambitions of growth are not up to par, "said Didier Gaillard, CEO of the firm Expectra. A study by Trendeo on employment in the territories has also established that the Ile-de-France, between 2009 and 2011, has a balance of negative job creation of over 7,000 positions, while Aquitaine shows a positive net balance of 12,340 positions.

In Rhone-Alpes, hiring forecasts recorded by Apec range between 16,600 and 19,900 jobs. Assets of the region? Two strong economic centers around Lyon and Grenoble, a structure of skilled jobs and a good balance between industry and services, type of activity and company size, which smoothes the effects of any economic downturns. "There's always a nice dynamic in sectors such as IT, where even we suffer from a shortage of candidates with hard to fill a good half of the jobs entrusted to us. Rhone-Alpes region is however that manages to attract candidates from other geographical origins, "says Jerome Lieutier, regional head of Expectra. With 61% of executives recently installed, the region is one that seems to attract as many newcomers to the Southwest (57%) and Southeast (59%) says a recent study by Michael Page on the situation frames into regions. In the same study, two thirds of executives surveyed nationally had changed region at their last job transfers.

For Paca, the situation appears more mixed. Companies counting on 11,100 to 14,200 recruits executives, representing an increase from – 10% to 15% depending on the scenario compared to the previous year, according to figures from Apec. Regional Sales Manager for the firm Kobaltt, which operates in the business accounting finance, engineering and IT and telecoms, Gregory Blazquez confirms: "In our business, Paca has declined since the end of last year . "

9000 industrial jobs in Midi-Pyrenees

Although relying on smaller volumes of recruitment, other regions have their own in the game This is the case of the Auvergne, driven by the dynamism of Michelin, or Midi-Pyrenees, which displays recruitment needs in the industry (including Aeronautics) of 9000 new employees in the next two years.

Regional Manager for the Western region Expectra, Isabelle Rivard also recalls that the Brittany and Pays de la Loire together with sectors such as aerospace, shipbuilding, biotherapy, or IT and telecoms: "In this last sector, we face a real shortage of candidates, which has always existed, but was strengthened. "The West wins the prize for satisfaction with 94% of managers satisfied with the region in which they work, according to study of Michael Page on frameworks in regions. 

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For tender in giant offshore wind, it's time for final arbitration. After a series of exchanges non-stop for 48 hours at the top of the state, the verdict is very close and although nothing has yet been formalized, EDF would be the big winner. The electrician tricolor should be assigned by the government three fields respectively in Saint-Nazaire (Loire-Atlantique), Fécamp (Seine-Maritime) and Courseulles-sur-Mer (Calvados).

A total of five fields within the scope of this tender, but the allocation of the remaining two sites – in Saint-Brieuc (Côtes d'Armor) and Tréport (Seine-Maritime) – could be called a later date. The schedule is not known but "a period of discussions should be reopened," does one advance in the entourage of the file no fax payday loans. Some background information might be reconsidered, particularly affecting the price of electricity.

If this scenario occurs, EDF would therefore gain all of the fields for which the government has decided. It would be a victory for the utility but for its main partner, Alstom, which would be commissioned to build and assemble the wind turbines. Two weeks ago, the industry group presented in Saint-Nazaire the prototype of his machine: it has a capacity of 6 megawatts (MW), making it the most powerful wind turbine market.

"My proposals are known, I made 60, which will not prevent me to add one or two during the campaign," warned Tuesday Francois Hollande, the move in the Drôme. Indeed, the Socialist candidate has completed his list of promises last week. On the theme of the University and Research, Monday to Nancy on the family and gender, in Reims for Women's Day; for associations, Saturday and finally on low wages, on Sunday M6 , in "Capital".

At first glance, additions marginal to the program announced in late January, which accounted for 20 billion annual expenditure. Yet, according to Enterprise Institute, which projects sales of the leading candidates (www.debateco.fr assumptions and calculations), the addition is not negligible: in a week, from 3.9 to 6.5 billion of additional annual expenditure.

A real public service early childhood

The largest piece is the creation of places for young children, with the goal of "creating a true public service early childhood." The think tank is assumed between 200,000 and 400,000 people plus, half in and half manger among childminders (for reference, the 2009-2012 plan, the government provides 200,000 spaces created). Result: 1.8 to 3.7 billion spending per year by 2017.

These amounts include the provision of services for young children (Paje, paid by the family allowance funds in custody cases by a "nanny" approved), the construction of nurseries and their staff costs, tax credits on income, net of savings on benefits paid to parents on parental leave free online credit report. "This will encourage the return of parents to the labor market, with positive effects on value creation and contrasted the unemployment rate," said the Business Institute.

Second major expense: the change in calculating the minimum wage. At the current formula, based mainly on inflation, would add a "bonus" equal to half the growth rate. Companies bear most of the cost, but public finances will be affected, mainly in two ways: higher salaries for civil servants – who can not be less than the minimum wage – and reduced charges granted between 1 and 1.6 SMIC. The total estimated cost is between 1.3 and 1.6 billion euros in 2017.

"These measures, the Socialist candidate did not state financing, in addition to others in the draft (…), whose cost does not appear in the detail of spending 20 billion new release by the PS, "notes the Institute: ecological transition, valued at $ 1.8 billion for the state, very high rates over 100% of the territory (1 billion), hires employment center (0.8 to 1.2 billion), energy retrofit one million homes a year and establishment of a fifth branch of social security to fund addiction (to encrypt).

Cedric Mendes, head of recruitment of Colas.

The commercial center of the Three Quarters, in front of the Madeleine in Paris, finding colors. C & A will move in March 2013 over Decathlon, hosted by the abandoned clothing store for men Madelios (Spring Group) a year ago. The Australian fund MGPA, owner of the building since 2009, has reached an agreement with the sign Germano-Dutch, who obtained all necessary approvals for its fifth store in Paris. "La Madeleine will be our new flagship, which will offer a younger, less traditional, to attract new consumers," says one at C & A France.  

This new formula will speak about 5400 m2, an area slightly smaller than that of C & A of the Rue de Rivoli or the Boulevard Haussmann online cash advance.

Renovations and expansion began in that outlet, situated opposite the spring, which will include codes store Velizy. This other concept of the sign refurbished clothing has "helped advance the traffic and sales," explained the group, without giving further details. After opening nine stores last year, bringing its network to 127 outlets, C & A opened this year between 13 and 14, in Angers, including Lyon and Troyes.

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"Change Model" has become a leitmotif in the Lyonnaise des Eaux, a subsidiary of world number two services to local authorities, Suez Environnement.

"Our proposals meet the shared view that we must reinvent the governance of water, take into account environmental and social issues and meet the high demand for information from citizens," said Philippe Maillard, the new head of the Lyon water, which presents on Tuesday, the Congress of Mayors of France, the "contract for water security."

After the turn made by Paris in 2010, several cities are planning to remove the water management to private operators to switch to public ownership. Bordeaux switch soon. Evry, Lyon and Lille are wondering.

The fall of a six-story elevator building in a housing project in Paris on October 27, revived the debate on the safety of these facilities. Work had been made last month on this lift-de-registered by the company Schindler Somatem, responsible for maintenance. Tenants of the building where the accident occurred will file a complaint against Paris-Habitat, owner, announced their partnership "Tenants angry." The social landlord, he has filed a complaint against X. An investigation is underway to determine if it was a defective part of the manufacturer or poor maintenance. Contacted by The Figaro.fr Schindler declined to comment.

France has 520,000 elevators, accessible to 482,500 people. National Park is the most dilapidated of Europe, half of the devices with more than 25 years and a quarter over 40 years, according to the Federation of elevators no fax needed payday loans.Now, nearly 100 million people use every day a lift. Following a series of serious accidents in 2003, Gilles de Robien, Minister of Works, Transport and Housing, has passed the law "safety of existing lifts" (SAE). State of play:

• High bill for owners

This text imposed new obligations on security, maintenance and technical inspection of elevators. A three-stage timetable was established for this compliance, depending on the severity of identified risks, with maturities in 2010, 2013 and 2018. "At 31 December 2010, the first term, 10-15% of the work was not done," notes Jean-Luc Detavernier, managing director of the Federation of elevators, which includes more than 110 companies (90% of sector).

The benchmark index of rents (IRL) continues its momentum. Indexed to inflation, the index increased by 1.90% yoy in the third quarter 2011, according to INSEE, its largest increase since the first quarter of 2009.

Following the same curve as the price index, the benchmark rents had fallen sharply during the crisis, before recovering from the first quarter of 2010. However, according to figures released Wednesday by INSEE, inflation emerged up 2.2% year on year in September, despite a slowdown during the past month.

Consequence of this increase in the IRL, the owners can raise rents to their tenants under lease, 1.90% maximum per year. This ceiling is not to be confused with the increase that may require the owner at the end of the lease, and which itself is not subject to this limit.

Rising rents slows

They are also in the process of marking time, like the sale price. The latest observation Clamor, the rents charged to new tenants were up 0.9% over the first eight months of the year, against 1.4% a year earlier. In 34% of cities in France, this trend is even negative. This is for example the case in Paris (-0.1%), Bordeaux (-0.9%) or Toulouse (-0.4%).

In other cities of the Hexagon, however, rents remain strong on the upside. This is the case in Lyon (+1.2%), Nantes (+1.7%), Lille (1.9%) or Le Havre (+2%). For the full year, Clamor expects an average increase of 1.5% to 1.8% against 2.5% in 2010.

The Observatory notes wide disparities between the cities but also between the quality of rented accommodation.Owners who make improvements before entering into a new lease rent on average well 9.3% more than the previous occupant. However, when the property is rented without work, its rental value decreases by an average of 5.4%.

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