However, Louis Giscard d'Estaing is convinced that there is still food for thought in the financing of 35 hours. He will file an amendment in the bill funding the Social Security (PLFSS) for further reduce the limit on exemptions from employer contributions on wages at 1.5 times the minimum wage (currently against 1.6). Which would represent just over one billion euros in savings, if the measure comes into force on 1 January. He even suggested to lower the ceiling to 1.4 times the minimum wage in July 2012 to "give companies time to adjust."The UMP also suggests to "a general movement of the plane of the allocations to the operators of the state" by reducing them to 3% in 2012 No teletrak payday loan.

"Do not replace two staff on three"

In this area, Hervé Mariton (UMP, Drôme) also proposes to "ease the regulations that impact cost." Other proposals of the Liberal "not to replace two of three officials" and "examining investments less profitable," particularly in the area of ​​infrastructure. "Do not panic about short-term savings. We will be judged on the strength and seriousness of a savings plan in the long term, "said Mariton. Special Rapporteur of the mission work jobs, Chantal Brunel (UMP, Seine-et-Marne) will propose to leave the tax deduction on home jobs "all leisure activities and relaxation."Isabelle Vasseur (UMP, Aisne), Rapporteur of the Finance Committee on Social Security Financing Bill, will propose this afternoon the establishment of "prevention, source of major savings in health" she assures.

The former chairman of the Senate Finance Committee Jean Arthuis think we need to "reduce the amount of grants to local authorities" and "to lower executive compensation operators of the state." Former budget minister, Dominique Bussereau is more cautious: "We are still on the bone. The revision of public policies (RGPP) was very effective, so that the state is under-Box at the local level, "says he.

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If the prospect should be revised to "negative", this would imply that Moody's would likely lower the rating over the medium term, most often at a maturity of three to twelve months.And France would become the new big country, after the United States to lose its prestigious rating that allows it to borrow on the current market conditions very favorable.

A budget supervision

In reaching its decision, Moody's analyze the ability of the French government to meet its budget commitments. She stressed that the financial strength of the French government "has weakened since the economic and financial crisis worldwide has led to a deterioration in its debt ratios, which are now among the lowest in AAA." In addition, "France could face a number of challenges in the coming months, such as the need for additional support to other European countries or its own banking system, which could increase significant commitments that must support the country's budget. "The remark came just after the adoption by the members of the guarantees provided by the French in the process of dismantling the Franco-Belgian bank Dexia payday loans for bad credit.

But Moody's does not forget to mention the strengths of the country where the government should build, "the large scale of its economy, high productivity, wide diversification, experience, innovation and a savings companies with high a moderate increase in financial liabilities of households and businesses. "These elements provide" a great capacity for shock absorption by France, as demonstrated by the strength of the demand during the global crisis, "reminds the statement.

France "will do everything possible" to keep the AAA

The rating agency said that the review is part of its annual financial statements for France and it is not yet a decision on the rating of the country.

But after this warning, the marathon budget to the Assembly for consideration of the budget 2012, which begins on Tuesday, should be closely watched.On France 2 last night, Prime Minister Francois Fillon warned it would take "new measures" austerity if France did not record a "minimal growth of 1.5%" in 2012, as the draft budget is "built on a projected 1.75% growth, but it works with a minimal growth of 1.5%."

Already, Tuesday morning, the Minister of Economy, Baroin, indicates that the growth forecast for 2012 is adopted "probably too high." He promised that France "will do everything possible" to maintain its excellent rating.

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Specialists Aurel BGC, the violent rebound index in the last fifteen minutes of the session on Wall Street is mainly due to the information leaked after the meeting of economic ministers of the European Union . European Commissioner for Economic Affairs has indeed mentioned in an interview with the Financial Times, a European plan to recapitalize banks."We share a growing opinion that we need a concerted, coordinated in Europe," he said, "the capital of European banks should be strengthened to give them a safety margin and so reduce uncertainty "in markets.

Degradation of the note of Italy by Moody's did not stop the European stock markets to begin the session in the green and should have little impact on Wall Street.

However, the pessimistic forecasts of the IMF could influence the trend.The International Monetary Fund (IMF) warned on Wednesday that he did not rule out a recession in the world in 2012, facing a possible reversal of the activity.

According to analysts at Cantor Fitzgerald, the market is also beginning to show some resistance, "because the corporate earnings season is about to begin, that most economic indicators were positively surprised."

The president of the U.S. central bank, Ben Bernanke, warned that employment growth could be "sluggish" for some time, but said the institution was "ready to take additional measures" to support the economy.Ben Bernanke, who testified in Washington before the Joint Economic Committee of Congress, also called on parliamentarians to provide savings in the medium and long term, but to "avoid taking fiscal measures may impede the ongoing economic recovery," and They were asked to complete the action of the central bank.

United States, on the macroeconomic front, hirings rose slightly in September in the private sector in the United States, according to the monthly survey of the consulting firm HR ADP pay day loan lenders. Private companies have created 91,000 net jobs, in seasonally adjusted data, or 2% more than in August said ADP.Investors also expect the ISM at 16:00 in services and at 16:30 the traditional weekly report on oil stocks.

Oil markets, fell sharply Tuesday after the courses are starting to rebound on Wednesday morning. The Brent North Sea crude for November delivery gained 1.67 dollars to 101.46 dollars. A barrel of "light sweet crude for November delivery was appreciating his side of 1.91 dollars to 77.58 dollars. On the foreign exchange market, the euro is trading at 1.3292 dollar per ounce of gold is trading at 1628 dollars.

BNY Mellon in the sights of New York

The side of values, the State of New York filed a complaint Tuesday against the establishment of New York Mellon Bank (-3.67% to 18.13 dollars) to have overcharged transactions on foreign exchange markets and wants to recover nearly two billion dollars.For ten years, "instead of providing the best interbank rates as he promised," the institution makes money "by cashing the difference between the worst rate of the day, it charged its customers, and the price current market transactions at the time, "said the office.

Hewlett-Packard (0.04% to 23.03 dollars) should take a decision on its PC division in late October, according to CEO Meg Whitman cited by Reuters.

Yum! Brands (-0.22% to 49.33 dollars), which owns chains Pizza Hut, Taco Bell and KFC, whose figures stand out as a leading indicator of economic conditions in the United States, reported a third quarter benefit of $ 383 million above expectations. Sales rose 14% to $ 3.3 billion.CEO David Novak said: "Our margins in China were up 7% in the quarter with a jump of 29% of sales, excluding the impact of changes. (…) This tremendous growth in sales, combined with our forecast high of 600 restaurant openings, makes us confident in the strength of our business model in China. "For the full year, the group now its forecast 12% growth in profits before exceptional items.

Apple (-2.11% to 364.64 dollars), which introduced the iPhone Tuesday 4S, the fifth generation of its multi-functional phone, with a more powerful processor than its predecessor and a new system would also voice commands be observed.

"This is a meeting of all the dangers that will open.The news of banks is particularly rich and the market will excuse the slightest spark to plummet again, "said one Paris-based analyst who requested anonymity told AFP. For his part, Christian Noyer judge that the situation of these banks is not likely to deteriorate further.On RTL, the governor of the Banque de France as well as Judge Moody's announcement is "a relatively good news", "French banks maintain an excellent rating and have the same level as the major European banks." It is the even Jean Leonetti: French Minister for European Affairs estimates that French banks are not in danger, considering the speculation responsible for the "excitement" today.

Beijing expected at the turn of the Italian debt

Moreover, markets are awaiting a decision from Beijing to buy-or-no Italian sovereign debt, "China will continue to increase its investments in Europe," said Premier Wen Jiabao, the opening of "Summer Forum" Davos in Dalian (north-east) on Wednesday.But he is hopeful that the leaders of major European countries consider their relationship with courage to China a strategic point of view. "

Another new fueling hopes of a crisis: the five emerging BRIC (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa) should discuss next week the opportunity to help the European Union by increasing their holdings of bonds denominated in euros.

Still on the debt of Athens, the Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou, French President Nicolas Sarkozy and German Chancellor Angela Merkel hold a conference call tonight to find a solution to the crisis. The meeting comes as fears or rumors speak out about the bankruptcy of Greece.After having set fire to the powder Monday citing the possibility of a default in Athens, Germany has tried to calm things down Tuesday by stressing, in the words of Chancellor Angela Merkel, that everything was done to prevent a collapse of Greece.

The euro declined against the dollar

On the macroeconomic front, the figures for industrial production in the euro area are expected. In Britain, unemployment figures for August will also be published.

United States, who saw their deficit increase again this summer, the figures for retail sales and producer prices for August will be announced early afternoon.Like stocks and sales of businesses, as well as the weekly inventory of crude oil guaranteed high risk personal loans.

On the foreign exchange market, the euro was down again this morning against the greenback at 1.3637 dollars, against 1.3682 dollars in New York the day before. The single currency also weakened against the yen at 104.81 yen against 105.19 yen yesterday in New York. The yen was also stable against the dollar at 76.86 yen to the dollar against 76.88 the previous day.

Oil prices were also down Wednesday, as markets always worried about the debt crisis in the eurozone and a possible bankruptcy of Greece, analysts said. In early electronic trading, a barrel of "light sweet crude" for delivery in October lost 71 cents to 89.50 dollars per barrel of Brent North Sea crude for October delivery 9 cents to 111.80 dollars."With the danger hovering over the Greek market, prices are highly volatile, very nervous," said Nick Trevethan, commodities analyst at ANZ Research in Singapore.

Values ​​to follow

• Banking

Following the deterioration of Moody, the banking sector should be particularly under the spotlight for this session, with the front line Societe Generale (-2.09% to 17.52 euros) and Credit Agricole (3.14% to 5.31 euros). Maintained under negative watch, BNP Paribas (-3.64% to 26.98 euros) also said Tuesday it had asked the AMF to open an investigation after information on the liquidity of the bank published in the Wall Street Journal.In addition, BNP Paribas will reduce the size of its balance sheet of about 10% by the end of 2012 and expects to achieve a capital adequacy ratio of 9% under the new banking regulations of Basel III soon 1 January 2013, the French bank said in a presentation document. Societe Generale and Credit Agricole.

• Areva (-1.90% to 20.60 euros)

EDF prepares to place an order for more than one billion euros in the nuclear group Areva for the purchase of 32 steam generators, Le Figaro said on Wednesday.The choice of Areva will be endorsed on Sept. 28 by the Board of Directors of the electrician needs to change 32 of its 44 steam generators in its power to 1300 MW.

• Renault (-0.14% to 24.81 euros)

The manufacturer wants to improve its stock market value and change the structure of the alliance with Nissan is not the main lever to get there, told Reuters the CEO of Renault, Carlos Ghosn, the car show in Frankfurt. He also said the group looked for ways to adjust the structure of the Renault-Nissan.

• Vinci (0.47% to 31.81 euros)

The group won a contract worth 108 million euros for the construction of systems of wastewater treatment in the Dominican Republic.

• CNP Assurances (0.44% to 10.29 euros)

The Standard & Poor's said Tuesday night that confirmed the rating of "AA-" from the French insurer.

• Club Med (2.66% to 12.15 euros)

The leisure group has published on Wednesday sales down slightly in the third quarter, its activity has been particularly impacted on travel to Morocco, Tunisia and Egypt, against the backdrop of geopolitical turmoil. Turnover fell by 1.9% in third quarter (-0.3% at constant currency) to 323 million euros.

More than a brake unexpectedly in the economy, we see a reversal of perception. The latter is even more brutal than the general opinion was, in my view, tainted with excessive optimism. Then it is difficult to know what, the political farce about debt in Washington, the loss of the AAA American or poor statistics justified the change of outlook on the economy.

The publication of poor growth in the second quarter in the U.S. and the downward revision of the statistics of activity since 2008, have changed the vision of recovery.We start from lower than initial estimates, and we go up the slope much more slowly than expected.

We also witnessed a particularly brutal realization that the inflationary between autumn 2010 and spring 2011 was a major blow to the head of consumers. With a depressed job market and debt strategy, it was not much more to demand falters significantly.

Do you believe in a scenario back in recession?

The situation is much more fragile than earlier this year. The risk of a recession back to a horizon of six months has increased considerably paydayloans. In my view, two scenarios-slow growth or recession-are as likely to occur. The first scenario would lead to growth of only 2% in the U.S. and 1% in Europe, below the trend in previous upturns.The fault mainly mass unemployment. As for the recession, it could happen if everyone is convinced it is inevitable. Given the current environment, the market may in fact remain in panic mode, accumulating indiscriminate bad news one after the other.

Some economists raise the specter of the 2008 crisis …

In response to the bankruptcy of Lehmann, banks no longer wanted to lend to each other, freezing, and the global economy for six months. We're not there. Of course, we see signs of stress in the interbank market, but they have nothing to do with the situation three years ago. At the time, the Fed has provided up to $ 600 billion to other central banks to provide liquidity in dollars. Currently, the hotline is used up to 200 million.

In a recession, states will they try to revive the economy?

Western countries have largely emptied their cartridge: operating margins are much narrower. Any potential action, if it increases the debt carries with it much more likely than before.

"In France, the breakfast is just 2% of sales of cafés, bars and eateries, says the owner of the establishment, also president of cafes, bars and brasseries in the union Synhorcat. But for one short year, the market moves a little. We draw some of the clientele of hotels.More and more business appointments are also around a working breakfast between 8 o'clock and 10 o'clock. "

"Not very profitable"

Praised by business travelers, the Plaza Athénée, a Parisian palace, carries 3 million in sales a year with his breakfast, including 1.6 million in the dining room of Alain Ducasse, where 60% of the clientele has not spent the night at the hotel. A single espresso is charged 8 euros. "The average price is 50 euros per person. All patrons of the CAC 40 are there, welcomes François Delahaye, the owner of the Plaza Athénée. Breakfast loyalty. But it is not very profitable, because payroll costs as much as we noon, when the bill is four times lower. "

Breakfast remains a difficult market for restaurateurs.The French are indeed more likely to take home the Anglo-Saxons, and they have less appetite.

McDonald's France, the breakfast is less than 1% of sales. "Unlike the British, Germans and Dutch, the French are not ready to leave in the morning for their breakfast, says Isabelle Kuster, Vice President of Operations in France and Southern Europe at McDonald's. Many are content with a coffee and stay hungry until noon.To attract them, we must offer them what they prefer: an espresso and toast. "As a result, McDonald's, which sells its formula with American breakfast (pancakes and Egg McMuffin) than 250 McDonald's where the demand warrants, innovates by launching September 26th in its 130 McCafe an offer adapted to the habits of the French, with small black and baguette spread with butter and jam.

"France is the only country where the espresso and croissants topped sales in the morning," insists a spokesman for Starbucks. The American chain attracts a customer in France to 60% and 40% of local tourists. In the morning, only 30% of customers use their on-site order. "But in France, we carry a large portion of our sales between 8 am and noon, when the Germans and Spaniards are more in the afternoon," said the spokesman for Starbucks.

Wall Street follows the movement promoted by the European stock exchanges. In Paris, the political mobilization against the bear market in Europe has slowed the drop in European indexes.

The employment figures dictate trend

In this context the assumption of a recession in the U.S. or the world, is today one of the main fears of the markets, the announcement of a significant improvement in job creation last month calm spirits on Wall Street.In recent weeks, disappointing publications on the state of the U.S. economy had, in fact, chained, challenging the idea of ​​resumption of the world's largest economy. This publication confirms the figures released Wednesday by ADP, reports of more new jobs than expected for the month of July.

At 21 hours the numbers of U.S. consumer credit for the month of June will end this week full of macroeconomic data.

Oil and euro pressure

Oil prices climbed hesitantly at the opening Friday in New York, despite the employment figures better than expected, as the market wondered if it would be sufficient to support the demand for crude in a very fragile economic environment .On the New York Mercantile Exchange (Nymex), a barrel of "light sweet crude" for September delivery was trading at 87.04 dollars, up 41 cents from the previous day.

This concern also weighs on the currency front, the euro was trying to rebound against the dollar but remained under pressure from macroeconomic concerns.To 15 hours in Paris, the European currency was worth 1.4224 dollars against 1.4106 dollars on Thursday night, after falling to 1.4055 dollars in early Asian trade, its lowest for three and a half weeks fast cash online.

AIG, GM and Procter & Gamble publish their accounts

On the corporate side, the semi-annual publications still dominate the news on Friday.

Thursday evening after market, the insurer AIG (-0.23% to 26.34 dollars) announced a return to the green of its accounts in the second quarter, with net earnings of $ 1.84 billion over the period, against a loss of $ 2.7 billion a year earlier. Per share, net income totaled $ 1 ($ 0.69 after tax, against $ 0.92 expected by analysts).

At the same time, and its first quarterly since its IPO on May 19, LinkedIn (-2.27% to 93.36 dollars) was positively surprised markets by announcing a turnover more than doubled the second quarter to 121 million dollars (120 euros) and net profit (4.5 million), where analysts expected a loss.

GM Motors (1.27% to 26.32 dolars) Thursday reported quarterly results exceeded expectations, with a near doubling of profits over the period.

Procter & Gamble (1.78% to 60.64 dollars) released before market on Friday for the fourth quarter of fiscal offset, net income up 15% to $ 2.51 billion.Of 2010-2011, so it shows a net profit of 11.79 Annual Statement billion, down 7% from the previous year.

Viacom (3.55% to 53.17 dollars), the parent company of MTV and Comedy Central, has reported a rise than expected in earnings thanks to strong revenue growth in advertising Cable and license agreements with websites. Its quarterly results (Q3) increased to $ 574 million against 432 million

Bank of America (1.70% to 8.98 dollars) is highly exposed to the most fragile countries in the euro zone, according to a document from the bank. The group said exposure to the tune of $ 16.7 billion (11.8 billion euros) in total to Greece, Ireland, Italy, Portugal and Spain in June 30Management has indicated in a document submitted to the regulatory authorities that its losses could reach up to legal $ 2.3 billion in addition to the provisions already passed for this purpose.

But investors remain cautious as Barack Obama has not convinced the issue of debt. In a speech to the nation live from the White House, Bush denounced the attitude of the Republicans that led to an impasse "dangerous". The world's largest economy may end up in default within a week if no agreement is reached on raising the debt ceiling, an event "irresponsible" by the president. Facing him, the chairman of the House Republican John Boehner, remained inflexible. He accused Barack Obama face of intransigence solutions proposed by his party."The sad truth is that the president wants a blank check. This will not happen, "he said.

Faced with the growing nervousness of the markets, it has however promised to submit to the Senate and the president a bill to avoid a default. "If the president promulgates it, the atmosphere of crisis it has created will disappear of itself," he said. Barack Obama also wanted to be reassuring: "I told the leaders of both parties that they must reach a compromise in the coming days, which can be passed by both houses of Congress, a compromise that I can enact. And I'm sure we can seal this compromise. "

In addition to the markets, the United States are now under pressure from the IMF suggests that a "severe shock" if no agreement is reached on time.The institution has also damaged its projections for the U.S. national debt.

The dollar attacked

The dollar is suffering in this context. The dollar briefly fell below 78 yen Tuesday, its lowest level since March 17, when President Barack Obama spoke to Americans. The euro has also appreciated against the greenback at 1.4420 dollars against 1.4375 dollars late Monday. "The president's speech Obama has disappointed market expectations of progress hoping to break the deadlock," said Hideki Hayashi, an economist at the brokerage Mizuho Securities, quoted by Dow Jones Newswires.

Oil prices were, themselves, without direction in electronic trading in Asia, the market continued to worry about the lack of agreement. A barrel of "light sweet crude" for delivery in August took 15 cents to 99.35 dollars.That of Brent North Sea crude for September delivery lost 29 cents to 117.65 dollars.

Investors also will keep an eye on the indicators of the day:

– The morale of French households is somewhat back in July after months of stability, with a gain of 3 points in the index that measures at 86 points, according to data released Tuesday by INSEE. But that level remains low.

– The number of starts of new homes rose 13.4% year on year in France for the period April to June, said Tuesday the Department of Housing.

Coming to the United States: the index of house prices and new home sales. Also the program overseas indices of investor confidence and consumer.

Values ​​to follow

The banks are recovering from their fall the day before.Crédit Agricole (1.64% to 9.06 euros), BNP Paribas (1.48% to 47.39 euros), Société Générale (1.39% to 36.77 euros), Axa (1, 28% to 13.88 euros) and Natixis (1.26% to 3.29 euros) are the highest increases in the ACC.

Faurecia: -1.55% to 29.87 euros

The automotive supplier has revised up its forecasts Tuesday turnover for 2011 between 15.7 and 15.9 billion euros and operating margin, after a good first half. But the forecast annual cash flow is lowered.

Veolia: 0.67% to 18.16 euros

The city of Warsaw has chosen Dalkia, Veolia and controlled by EDF, to buy the operator of its district heating network, the company SPEC, according to sources familiar with the matter.

Orpea: 0.20% to 34.44 euros

The investment company said it had taken FFP 6% stake in Orpea, a company specializing in the treatment of addiction, for a total of 88 million euros.

TF1: 5.30% to 13.40 euros

The television group has published a net profit up 60% to 118.6 million euros, but a turnover in a very slight decline (-0.5%), 1.3 billion euros, for the first half of 2011.

STMicroelectronics: -6.53% to 53.97 euros

The group said Monday second-quarter sales in line with analysts' expectations, but said that they could fall during the current quarter.

LVMH: 0.15% to 130.75 euros

The group said on Monday maintained at 12.25 euros per share price of its tender offer to purchase the remaining shares of the Italian jeweler Bulgari and denied having purchased from the family part of the shares at a higher price. It will publish its results after market close the first half.

Klépierre: 0.55% to 27.56 euros

The group reported Monday, against all odds, a growth of almost 4% of its rental income, supported by the increase in rents in shopping centers in an economic context, however, marked by the slowdown in consumption in Europe.(See

Mercialys: -0.81% to 29.40 euros

The group identified Monday its growth target for this year after reporting a growth of over 9% of its rental income in the first half and its Board of Directors decided to distribute an interim dividend for 2011 .

SEB: -7.10% to 67.62 euros

The group released Monday interim results up, thanks to its good performance in emerging markets, and is confident for the full year.

Faiveley Transport: -3.99% to 62.50 euros

The group confirmed Monday forecast for 2011 a slight increase in sales, just over a month after a warning about shifts orders.

April Group: -2.13% to 17.03 euros

The group recorded an increase of 1.3% of its turnover to 377.8 million euros, a jump of 8.2% in brokerage on which the group has refocused more than offsetting the decline 9.6% in insurance premiums.

After market, Sopra Vinci and publish their turnover for the second quarter, Gascogne, Euler Hermes, Spir Communication, TV and Radio Next Icade unveil the results of the second quarter, M6 will report its results in the first half.

Set up in 2002, the Electronic Filing is getting stronger year after year: 7.4 million followers in 2008, 10.5 million in 2010. This is due, among other things, the simplification of the system. In 2009, the State has decided not to ask for electronic certificate, which allows their returns from any computer. The IR, which is paid 53% of the 36 million tax households, reported 47 billion euros to the state in 2010.

The Commission often evokes the German and French tourists who go to Spain, to use their phone to call or download a movie, as they would at home, and are then claiming hundreds or even thousands of dollars by their operator.

Commissioner for telecoms, Neelie Kroes, on the other hand aims to have a genuine single market for telephony in Europe by 2015 with a near zero difference between the price of mobile home and those roaming abroad ("roaming").

Neelie Kroes will present a legislative proposal Wednesday to allow Europeans to buy separate packages for their specific communications abroad, with the operator of their choice without having to change the number. The proposal, which will be submitted to MEPs and EU governments, would take place from the summer of 2014.

Three out of four are rationing their calls abroad

The EU currently imposes maximum prices, called "Eurotariff". Introduced in summer 2007, initially only for voice calls, they were reduced steadily and expanded to other mobile services like SMS.Brussels will propose to extend the Eurotariff, which were removed in 2012 but will remain until end 2016, and continue to drive down.

From a maximum of 35 cents per minute excluding VAT today, roaming voice calls could fall to 32 cents in July 2012, 28 cents in July 2013 and 24 cents in July 2014. For receiving a call, the Euro-tariff increase from 11 cents a minute today to 10 cents in July 2013. And the price of SMS would decrease by 11 cents today to 10 cents in July 2012.

Brussels wants to finally introduce a new price limit on data downloaded when the user surfs the Internet, check e-mails on a BlackBerry or iPhone … Retail prices are still about 50 times higher abroad that domestically, in Brussels.Such prices are "a nightmare for businessmen, tourists, young people," who "do not dare to use their mobile phones, let alone multi-function" when traveling in Europe, denounced Neelie Kroes.

A European survey published in mid-February has proved him right: 72% of European travelers surveyed said limit their roaming calls because of their cost.

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