Sundial of world news

While central bankers of the euro zone must meet this weekend to try to establish the foundation that will emerge from the crisis, Standard & Poor's already considering the worst. The rating agency has in fact simulated for several European countries, a "worst case scenario" based on a relapse into recession. If such an economic downturn were to occur, what the IMF is already considering, then the rating agency's estimation, several notes of sovereign debt could then be degraded, including that of France. She stresses, however, that "no degradation or put under surveillance of AAA French is considered for the moment."

Accuracy that allows Standard & Poor's to stand out from its counterpart Moody's, which launched a few days ago warning of a possible future revision of his opinion of the French debt.Fitch has also distanced itself from Moody's, ensuring that it does not intend to degrade the rating of France.

Without growth, no AAA rating for France

S & P has built these "stress tests" on sovereign debt from two batteries of different assumptions. In the first scenario, it assessed the impact of a relapse into recession. In this case, France could see its rating downgraded from AAA to AA +, because of lower tax revenues.

In the second scenario, which provides a relapse into recession coupled with a shock on interest rates, then the note of the French sovereign debt could be lowered by two notches.The notes of banking groups could also be revised.

"The soaring deficits and the recapitalization of banks will weigh heavily on the indebtedness of countries in the euro area," said the head of credit analysis in Paris, adding that "the credit quality of the countries in the euro area will thus be deeply damaged. " The rating agency also said it will adjust its ratings depending on the extent of the downturn on the Old Continent.

For now, the assumption of a recession in the countries of the euro area is not the scenario preferred by S & P, which focuses on growth of between 1% and 1.5% on average for 2012. This is not the case of Fitch."The intensification of the crisis in Italy, Spain and other countries in the euro area under pressure, is expected to generate a recession," says David Riley, head of credit ratings of sovereign debt at Fitch.

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The New York Stock Exchange fell back slightly on Wednesday at the opening after a strong rebound. The Dow Jones lost 0.40% to 10,775 points in early trade and the Nasdaq, 0.72% to 2387 points. The New York Stock Exchange has signed a dramatic rebound Tuesday late in the session, erasing the last minute the heavy losses earlier as a result of fears of default of Greece.

Specialists Aurel BGC, the violent rebound index in the last fifteen minutes of the session on Wall Street is mainly due to the information leaked after the meeting of economic ministers of the European Union . European Commissioner for Economic Affairs has indeed mentioned in an interview with the Financial Times, a European plan to recapitalize banks."We share a growing opinion that we need a concerted, coordinated in Europe," he said, "the capital of European banks should be strengthened to give them a safety margin and so reduce uncertainty "in markets.

Degradation of the note of Italy by Moody's did not stop the European stock markets to begin the session in the green and should have little impact on Wall Street.

However, the pessimistic forecasts of the IMF could influence the trend.The International Monetary Fund (IMF) warned on Wednesday that he did not rule out a recession in the world in 2012, facing a possible reversal of the activity.

According to analysts at Cantor Fitzgerald, the market is also beginning to show some resistance, "because the corporate earnings season is about to begin, that most economic indicators were positively surprised."

The president of the U.S. central bank, Ben Bernanke, warned that employment growth could be "sluggish" for some time, but said the institution was "ready to take additional measures" to support the economy.Ben Bernanke, who testified in Washington before the Joint Economic Committee of Congress, also called on parliamentarians to provide savings in the medium and long term, but to "avoid taking fiscal measures may impede the ongoing economic recovery," and They were asked to complete the action of the central bank.

United States, on the macroeconomic front, hirings rose slightly in September in the private sector in the United States, according to the monthly survey of the consulting firm HR ADP pay day loan lenders. Private companies have created 91,000 net jobs, in seasonally adjusted data, or 2% more than in August said ADP.Investors also expect the ISM at 16:00 in services and at 16:30 the traditional weekly report on oil stocks.

Oil markets, fell sharply Tuesday after the courses are starting to rebound on Wednesday morning. The Brent North Sea crude for November delivery gained 1.67 dollars to 101.46 dollars. A barrel of "light sweet crude for November delivery was appreciating his side of 1.91 dollars to 77.58 dollars. On the foreign exchange market, the euro is trading at 1.3292 dollar per ounce of gold is trading at 1628 dollars.

BNY Mellon in the sights of New York

The side of values, the State of New York filed a complaint Tuesday against the establishment of New York Mellon Bank (-3.67% to 18.13 dollars) to have overcharged transactions on foreign exchange markets and wants to recover nearly two billion dollars.For ten years, "instead of providing the best interbank rates as he promised," the institution makes money "by cashing the difference between the worst rate of the day, it charged its customers, and the price current market transactions at the time, "said the office.

Hewlett-Packard (0.04% to 23.03 dollars) should take a decision on its PC division in late October, according to CEO Meg Whitman cited by Reuters.

Yum! Brands (-0.22% to 49.33 dollars), which owns chains Pizza Hut, Taco Bell and KFC, whose figures stand out as a leading indicator of economic conditions in the United States, reported a third quarter benefit of $ 383 million above expectations. Sales rose 14% to $ 3.3 billion.CEO David Novak said: "Our margins in China were up 7% in the quarter with a jump of 29% of sales, excluding the impact of changes. (…) This tremendous growth in sales, combined with our forecast high of 600 restaurant openings, makes us confident in the strength of our business model in China. "For the full year, the group now its forecast 12% growth in profits before exceptional items.

Apple (-2.11% to 364.64 dollars), which introduced the iPhone Tuesday 4S, the fifth generation of its multi-functional phone, with a more powerful processor than its predecessor and a new system would also voice commands be observed.

The reform of the public can also make people happy. Steria has indeed been selected by the government to ensure the realization of information system (HRIS) in several ministries. Eventually, the system developed by IT services will allow the operator National Payroll (ONP) to ensure the payment of more than 3 million of state agents.

The contract for a period of four years, approximately $ 9 million, is part of the modernization program of the French state.The aim is thus to make available to all client departments "a single computer system and meet the shared challenges of transforming the State civil service," said Steria.

Olivier Vallet, CEO of Steria, said that this contract is "in line with the recent gain of the TMA Chorus for the modernization of budgetary aspects of the state."

The public outsource more and more private

More generally, as part of the reform of the public, the state increases the outsourcing to private faxless cash advance. Several departments regularly use the public-private partnership, recently this method of financing involving the State and communities to a private group concerned the areas of economy, technology, defense, education or further transport.

In particular, the management of part of the tracks is transferred to the private sector.In addition, the police will not be responsible to accompany the convoys exceptional. The state decided to entrust to private companies the management of transportation of wind turbines, ships and other bulky goods. The opening to competition of regional express trains could well tip the railway in the private sector. Public-private partnerships have also been established in the field of defense. The company has particular DCI took over the management of flight hours and the helicopter fleet of the School of Dax.

LIREAUSSI:

"The state accelerates the outsourcing to private

RATP talk about an incentive for training. The unions see it as an attempt to affect the right to strike. According to them, the Paris Transport Authority plans to propose an annual premium of 1,200 euros (100 euros per month) to executives who volunteer to attend regular training and maintain their qualification of driver. "At the RATP, the operating framework is formed, has always been to run trains and buses with passengers. The training concludes with obtaining driver's licenses and requires maintenance, "says the authority. A training effort that the RATP wants to encourage and validate the allocation of a premium.Officially, there is no question of getting managers and trained in the cockpit, but only "to formalize a useful practice to social cohesion and understanding of the complex rules of railway operations," says RATP, which states that it is for the time that a project to be discussed, and will apply only to volunteers.

"On behalf of the Ethics and danger

Arguments that jump unions, especially the South who deplores the lack of response from other unions. Jean-Christophe Delprat following the record for the organization is still furious. "The creation of the premium is included in a document entitled" contribution in terms of predictability. " This plan is implemented in the event of a strike, "said Steward.For him, it is clear that the RATP will be given to its executives a new rating, rewarded 100 euros per month, and use cases of social conflict to break the strike. As the project progresses, SOUTH says the discussion stage must already be exceeded according to his information as "84 frames, about 150 volunteers expected by management, are currently in training Online payday loans."

Beyond the reservations expressed in terms of ethics and how to proceed in the company, the union warns of potential danger. "I do not recommend users to get on a train driven by a non-accustomed to driving metros and RER, which is more one day strike in which many users are on the docks," warns the delegate.However, it is unlikely that this warning benevolent comforts travelers stranded at the station during the next strike.

"Clumsiness managerial"

He also noted that the managerial level, "it's pretty awkward." If he does not doubt the success of the measure with executives who can "more money make progress by volunteering," he warns that "relations may be strained between the manager and drivers when they know he broke the strike. " The trade unionist said to illustrate that none of the executives who agreed to drive the RER during the strike of December 2009 is now in the position he then occupied. A word …

"It's a funny way to start the social return," he says.Jean-Christophe Delprat even sees a signal of bad omens, "if management is beginning to organize themselves to deal with the strike is that it anticipates social conflict. One can imagine for example that it intends to return soon to the agreements on the reduction of working time. "

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At the close of the New York Stock Exchange, the Dow Jones advance of 0.46% to 11,613.53 points and the Standard & Poor's 500 and Nasdaq 100 rise respectively from 0.49% to 1218.89 points and 0 , 13% to 2579.46 points. Just before the final gong, U.S. markets rallied after going into the red, a sign of anxiety that prevails again.

Still, U.S. investors were reassured yesterday evening, the tone of "minutes" of the last monetary policy committee of the Fed. This report has indeed confirmed that the U.S. central bank did not rule to use new tools of monetary easing to support growth ever more threatened. A perspective that also prompted the European markets to rebound on Wednesday morning, when he had closed the previous day on a mixed note.Also in the interests of peace, the United States, President Barack Obama said on Tuesday that the U.S. economy had a "heart attack" she was recovering at a slow pace as he prepares to unveil a new stimulus package.

On August, the Dow Jones drops 4.4%, its worst performance since May 2010.

The employment figures highly anticipated

The indices have reacted rather well to a series of indices published this afternoon.

The private sector in the United States slowed its hiring in August, creating 91,000 jobs over the month, less than expected by analysts, according to figures released Wednesday by consulting firm HR ADP.These new jobs, slightly lower than in July (109,000, revised), are lower than analysts' forecasts, which projected 100,000.

Orders for the industry rose 2.4% in July in the United States, more than expected, driven upward by the strength of the transport sector, said Wednesday the Commerce Department. Economists on average had expected a rebound 1.9% after falling 0.4% (revised from -0.8%) the previous month.

However, the index of purchasing managers in the Chicago area fell in August, slightly less than expected, while falling to the lowest since November 2009. The index published on Wednesday in August falls to 56.5 against 58.8 in July and a consensus on giving 53.5.

On the corporate side, the American phone AT & T (-3.92% to 28.46 dollars) fall while the U.S. Justice Department will oppose the proposed acquisition by AT & T, currently number two in the phone Mobile USA. Even if the group is committed Wednesday to repatriate to the United States currently filled 5,000 jobs in its call centers overseas, where green light to the acquisition challenged T-Mobile, the subsidiary U.S. Deutsche Telekom.These employees will be "well paid", assured the group in a statement, recalling that he was the only major U.S. telecom operators to accept unions in its stores.

Bank of America (086% to 8.18 dollars) is about to further reduce its scope of activity in the mortgage, by stopping the sale of mortgage loans through independent agents, said Wednesday the Wall Street Journal, citing people familiar with the matter.

Hewlett-Packard (-0.08% to 26.03 dollars) will temporarily restart production of its TouchPad Tablet, whose sales soared since the U.S. computer giant announced mid-August that he would cease to manufacture. HP announced on August 18 a sudden change in its strategy, through the cessation of production of its new tablet and its smartphones using the operating system of Palm webOS.HP also plans to separate its activities from production computers to refocus on software.

"Everything is possible, you must be persistent and go!" Is the advice given to Arthur Soultrait, founding president of the textile company Viscount A, to those who dream of starting their own business. "It is a step by step and it is built," continues the authentic viscount, a former student of the Ipag which started in 2005 in the sale of ties, going door to door in the evening after third-year internship overseas.

A new episode of the saga Vicomte A will mark the re-entry. In early September, the firm will launch a new collection: Renette Gastinne by Vicomte A. "It's just our heart, enthused the boss.At vicomte had the chance to resume Gastinne Renette, the brand legendary hunters, to be 200 years next year. "

Viscount A, which has 50 employees and produces 11 million euros in sales, is already present in horse riding, golf, tennis and sailing. "Our image is the chic sport, including the major international equestrian competitions, the finals of the World Cup in Geneva and Polo Club Palm Beach, Gstaad or St. Tropez," says the manager.

European manufacturing

If the beginnings were difficult to tackle the major sector like Lacoste and Ralph Lauren, "because you start with nothing, you will establish your experience, Vicomte A now shows a very clear position, which is authentic to the French said Arthur de Soultrait payday advance online.It is the only face of foreign competitors and we play on it, bringing our colors, our freshness, our desire. I think today we made a difference like that. "

Another way to stand out, making Vicomte A is mainly European with the exception of polo shirts that are made in Peru. "Because it is there that we find the Pima cotton, which is the Rolls of cotton," says the entrepreneur.

However, Arthur de Soultrait considering a future manufacture of these items in France. "It's important for us to return the favor, since France is one of our major markets, we have many dealers. We found a workshop, again with Pima cotton from Peru, we can shape our polos.This allows us to have one made in France, which is completely Vicomte A picture of authenticity. "

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How do you explain the economic slowdown in recent months and the downward revisions to growth prospects?

More than a brake unexpectedly in the economy, we see a reversal of perception. The latter is even more brutal than the general opinion was, in my view, tainted with excessive optimism. Then it is difficult to know what, the political farce about debt in Washington, the loss of the AAA American or poor statistics justified the change of outlook on the economy.

The publication of poor growth in the second quarter in the U.S. and the downward revision of the statistics of activity since 2008, have changed the vision of recovery.We start from lower than initial estimates, and we go up the slope much more slowly than expected.

We also witnessed a particularly brutal realization that the inflationary between autumn 2010 and spring 2011 was a major blow to the head of consumers. With a depressed job market and debt strategy, it was not much more to demand falters significantly.

Do you believe in a scenario back in recession?

The situation is much more fragile than earlier this year. The risk of a recession back to a horizon of six months has increased considerably paydayloans. In my view, two scenarios-slow growth or recession-are as likely to occur. The first scenario would lead to growth of only 2% in the U.S. and 1% in Europe, below the trend in previous upturns.The fault mainly mass unemployment. As for the recession, it could happen if everyone is convinced it is inevitable. Given the current environment, the market may in fact remain in panic mode, accumulating indiscriminate bad news one after the other.

Some economists raise the specter of the 2008 crisis …

In response to the bankruptcy of Lehmann, banks no longer wanted to lend to each other, freezing, and the global economy for six months. We're not there. Of course, we see signs of stress in the interbank market, but they have nothing to do with the situation three years ago. At the time, the Fed has provided up to $ 600 billion to other central banks to provide liquidity in dollars. Currently, the hotline is used up to 200 million.

In a recession, states will they try to revive the economy?

Western countries have largely emptied their cartridge: operating margins are much narrower. Any potential action, if it increases the debt carries with it much more likely than before.

The 3700 points were in the viewfinder of investors in the Paris Stock Exchange on Wednesday. They were exceeded in the early exchanges. At the close, the CAC shows a new gain of 1.61% to 3754.60 points. Yesterday, the Paris VAIT has already managed to recover, ending on a rise of 1.21% to 3694 points.

Other major European markets advance in unison. The London Stock Exchange was also up, the stock exchanges of Madrid and Milan are the most active with gains of 3% each. In London, the FTSE-100 index gaining 1.1% to 5853.82 points in mid-session and featuring Dax index of the Frankfurt Stock Exchange advancing 0.40% to 7221.36 points.

Operators are encouraged by the good performance of U.S. markets, driven by advances in parliamentary negotiations in the United States for raising the ceiling on the debt.President Barack Obama for the first time reported "progress" in this debate, adding that the new Senate plan, presented Tuesday, was "consistent" in its approach. The Chairman stressed however that "not much time" before the deadline of August 2 to avoid a default. Wall Street was also reassured by good indicators of industrial performance and better than expected. Asian markets were also sending positive signals this morning.

Time, however, should still be prudent on the eve of a crucial European summit for the future of the euro area. The heads of state are to meet Thursday in Brussels to discuss the bailout of Greece. Several proposals for involving the private sector are on the table.

On the currency side, the euro rose slightly against the greenback at 1.4181 dollars against 1.4150 dollars late Tuesday.Oil is, him up: a barrel of "light sweet crude" for delivery in August takes 80 cents to 98.30 dollars and that of Brent North Sea crude for September delivery gained 69 cents to 117.75 dollars .

Values ​​to follow

Havas: 2.15% 3.47% to euros

The advertising group has announced the acquisition of a majority stake in the Australian Host, the first independent agency of the country, for an undisclosed sum.

Saffron: + 4.68% to 28.99 euros

Tuesday the group received the green light from Washington for the purchase of American specialist of biometrics L-1 Identity Solutions. The agreement was announced last September for $ 1.1 billion in cash.

Edenred: -5.69% to 20.37 euros

The company specializes in prepaid service said Wednesday he was informed of an investment for 8% of its capital.Nearly 18 million shares have been placed Edenred Wednesday market at a price of 20.30 euros, a total of around 367 million euros, according to a source familiar with the matter said that the placement was the act of a U cash advance now.S. institutional.According to a source market, it is South Eastern Asset Management.

Alstom: -1.35% to 37.97 euros

The group said Wednesday sales down 12% in the first quarter of fiscal year 2011-2012, to 4.5 billion euros, reflecting the "low level of orders registered during the crisis," but a sharp rebound its order intake over the same period (+44%).

Schneider Electric: + 0.71% to 105.85 euros

The group announced an extension until August 2 of its friendly takeover of two billion dollars (1.4 billion euros) on the Spanish Telvent, which it already owns to 19 July, before the closing date of the offer, 97% of the shares.

Laurent-Perrier: unchanged at 98.89 euros

The group announced Wednesday an increase of 11.5% of its turnover in the first quarter thanks to a mix effect prices soaring and exports still strong.

Accor: + 2.75% to 30.31 euros

The group was optimistic Tuesday in announcing an acceleration of organic growth in the second quarter due to increased occupancy rates and the gradual recovery of prices.

ADP: + 2.01% to 61.92 euros

The group announced a 4.6% increase in passenger traffic at its airports in June, driven by growth across all trajectories with the exception of Africa and the Middle East.

PPR: + 1.06% to 128.85 euros

Fnac, a subsidiary of luxury group, unveiled Tuesday a five-year strategic plan, called "Fnac 2015", which should enable it to boost sales after a disappointing performance.

EADS: + 3.59% to 24.79 euros

The parent company of Airbus has won a victory with the decision of American Airlines to order 260 A320s neo cons for Boeing 200 aircraft.

Biomerieux: -0.90% to 78.89 euros

The group announced the acquisition of French company Argene Molecular Biology and confirmed the objective of growth of its business year after an increase of 3.5% of its turnover in the first half of 2011.

Sanofi: + 1.30% to 55.15 euros

The Canadian Valeant Pharmaceuticals announced yesterday the signing of an agreement to buy the French laboratory marketing rights and distribution in Canada of a cream against osteoarthritis.

Manitou: + 1.45% to 21.74 euros

The group raised its forecast Tuesday for 2011 after signing up 45% of its turnover in the first half despite the continuing difficulties of supply.

Always on the side of publications, after market, Unibail-Rodamco will present its second quarter results and Ubisoft announce its first quarter 2011-2012 revenues.

Investors have a sharp tongue this morning at the Paris Bourse to the Sodexo. The title of specialist catering opened sharply lower on Tuesday (-0.93% to 53.45 euros), thus one of the largest declines in the SBF 120. Figures released this morning before market had, however, is appealing. In the first nine months of its fiscal year 2010-2011 (ending August 31), the turnover number two worldwide in its sector has in fact increased by 7.7% to 12.408 billion euros. On a comparable basis, sales advanced 5.2% between September 2010 and May 2011.

Confirm what the goal of organic growth of 4.5% of its annual turnover from 2010 to 2011 (target statement in April) and operating profit up "order" 10% off effects.

In a statement released this morning, management also details the performance by division.On the side of its core business, sales service solutions on site (catering services, 95% of the activity), billings were up 5.1% organically, driven by the strong performance of the restoration and services to businesses and governments. "This reflects the dynamism of emerging countries Sodexo," also details the statement said.

Latin America driving growth

As for solutions motivations (gift vouchers, tickets restaurants), there is also a dynamic steady, with sales up 6.2% organically, to 532 million euros. Again, the emerging regions have driven growth, including Latin America, where activity jumped 13.7% of the activity against a withdrawal of 0.9% in Europe.For example, Sodexo won a new contract with the Venezuelan Senate tickets for restaurants, covering 11,150 beneficiaries.

The reaction of the markets this morning is not worrying, investors took some profits after a rise of 13% of the title for four months. More than 18 times earnings estimates for the current fiscal year, the title is rather highly valued, which may also explain the correction on Wednesday.

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The Secretary General of the UMP, Hervé Novelli, wants to remove the 35 hours if Nicolas Sarkozy wins in 2012. And, as requested by the MEDEF. Hervé Novelli unveils project in an interview Saturday in Paris, in France today. "This is to define the new rules and the areas in which the social partners will now hand as the length of working time. Just like Germany where the legal working time is negotiated and determined on a company or branches, "says Novelli."We know that from one sector to another, the needs are not the same, so it's logical that he return to the social partners to address this problem." Argues there yet.

"Three years to negotiate working hours"

Speaking at a convention on social reconstruction that will host Tuesday with Jean-Francois Cope, secretary general of the UMP, he will present his script. "Companies will have three years from 2012 to negotiate working hours, he says. While some employers will remain at 35 hours, they can. Those who play the game will be held to compensate their relief over the next three years. " He also said that the tax exemption of overtime will be abolished after 2014.

The UMP also wishes to address the financing of social protection."The solution would be to transfer part of its funding on indirect taxation of consumption type VAT or CSG. Only the family branch would be transferred, in whole, or 32 billion euros, or in part, "he explains. He added: "If we transferred the whole, this would be 4 points plus VAT. But I recognize that this growth would break. We therefore advocate a gradual transfer of 12 billion euros in three years, in the end an increase of 1.5% VAT or 1.1 point of CSG, "says Novelli.

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