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The third Chinese airline, China Eastern, on Friday announced a membership agreement from June 2010 with the Skyteam alliance is located in, including Air France-KLM. His entry will be effective in mid-2011. Companies Delta Airlines, Alitalia, Korean Air or another Chinese company, China Southern, are also part of Skyteam.

Air France-KLM had already signed a partnership with China Eastern on code share flights between Paris and Shanghai. For the French company and the alliance, the future membership sounds like a victory against the other alliances such as Oneworld and Star Alliance. Skyteam marks indeed a great point against Luftahnsa who was also in the running.Thus deviend Skyteam alliance, the largest in China, probably the greatest future aviation market in the world.

More chess with Japan Airlines and Kingfisher Airlines, which joined Oneworld, Skyteam revives success. Oneworld not in its ranks as Cathay Pacific to Asia as the marginalized in this market.

However, doubts remain about the relationship with China Airlines Star Alliance, which had signed a trade agreement with China Eastern.

In June 2010, SkyTeam also plans to host two additional members, Vietnam Airlines and Tarom.

Tax policy will be one of the major challenges of the 2012 presidential. Elected representatives of the majority have realized that the crisis had substantially changed the perception of the French measures taken at the beginning of the quinquennium. In the UMP as among the centrists, parliamentarians are increasingly likely to claim "adjustments" of the tax shield in the left side, which for three years, tirelessly seeks its removal. The Budget Minister Francois Baroin, who was auditioning for the first time Tuesday by the Finance Committee of the Assembly reaffirmed the need to maintain the tax shield to send a message of "fiscal stability" for French taxpayers who chose to go abroad to save taxes.

A topic "anxiety"

But the lines are moving in the majority.Thirteen UMP deputies said they would seek in a bill, the "suspension" of the tax shield to "finance the pension reform, reduce deficits and to support people in precarious situations. Jean-Francois Cope, the owner of UMP, which remains "very committed" to this device, does more to suspend the application "for a limited time, for a visit of solidarity.

The chairman of the New Center, Herve Morin, said that the question deserves "a full debate". The deputies and senators are centrists on the issue at the forefront, and that of the ISF. Jean Arthuis, the chairman of the Senate Finance Committee, has long called for the abolition of the tax shield and the removal of the ISF, with consideration for the creation of an additional tax on income at 45%.In the House, Charles de Courson, a specialist in budgetary matters, is on the same line as the president of the centrist Alliance for the ISF. But it does not require the abolition of the tax shield. He would prefer the way the CSG and CRDS shield calculated at fixed rates, and that the CRDS is increased by 0.2% to 0.3%.

Jean-Francois Cope,, recommended the merger of the income tax, the CSG and CRDS to reduce deficits and debt, which have become a subject of "anxiety" to the French. This was the observation that the majority elected to have the opportunity of the regional campaign. Cope also agrees with a repeated request of many of the elected majority, leaving the principal residence of the base of the ISF.

Observed by the whole world, the trial Rio Tinto, which opens Monday in Shanghai, is the culmination of nearly a year of trade tensions between China and the mining giant Anglo-Australian Rio Tinto. This will also be a political test for Beijing, which has promised transparency.

Four employees of Rio Tinto appear from Monday for "corruption" and "theft of trade secrets": the Australian Stern Hu, head of the Shanghai office of Rio Tinto, and three of his Chinese collaborators. Upon their arrest in July 2009 in Shanghai, they were accused of stealing state secrets, that is to say, highly sensitive information on China's position at the negotiating table on ore prices iron.

Since the beginning of the Rio Tinto trade negotiations and lawsuits strangely coincide.The arrest of Hu Stern and his staff intervened when the negotiations on the price of iron ore were being ruined and one month after the rejection by shareholders of Rio Tinto to increase the participation of the giant China's Chinalco aluminum in the group's capital.

Partnerships in Africa

Earlier this year, announcing the end of the investigation fell when the price negotiations for the year 2010-2011 debuted without China. Like every year, the big mining groups that dominate the global market – Rio Tinto, both Anglo-Australian BHP Billiton and Brazil's Vale – agree with their key buyers – Japan, China, Europe – a price for the year beginning April 1, fast cash advance .But the mining groups have decided this time to discuss first with their Japanese buyers.

Last year, Chinese steelmakers were on a very firm position. No agreement had been reached. Steelmakers had ended up paying the market price, 80% over prices negotiated. This year, the talks heated still ahead. Miners might seek to secure increases of 50% to 90%, according to sources. Higher difficult to accept for the Chinese steelmakers.

But Rio Tinto hopes to continue its business in a country that became the main destination of its exports last year, with 24.3% of sales. The Anglo-Australian multiplies friendly gestures. A new head for China and was appointed last month. The choice of Ian Bauert is not trivial.This sinophile and sinophone was created in mid 1980 the first office of Rio Tinto Republic. For his part, Tom Albanese, CEO of the group, arrived in Beijing Sunday to attend an economic forum.

Last week, his company signed a partnership with the giant Chinese aluminum, Chinalco, for an investment in a mine in Guinea. According to the Australian press, discussions are also underway for projects in Mongolia and Australia.

lefigaro.fr / jdf.com: The beginning of 2010 seems to mark a resurgence of activity. Is it time to review mergers and acquisitions?

Herve Mangin: The market mergers and acquisitions work for periods of three to four years from 1997 to 2000, then 2003 to 2007. Since 2009, we are in the trough of the wave. Current levels are the lowest ever achieved for five years. Between 2007 and 2009, the number of deals announced declined by 53% and 32% between 2008 and 2009. The market mergers and acquisitions have obviously suffered from the economic crisis but also the draining of financial markets, preventing firms from refinancing.Since late last year, we see a resumption of operations, with an increase of nearly 50% in the fourth quarter versus the third quarter.

How can we explain this turnaround?

The economic visibility improves, credit conditions are more flexible, companies have taken preemptive measures to deal with the crisis and some have a large cash cushion. There are two ways to use this cash, either redistribute it to shareholders through dividends or share repurchases, or generate growth through investments or mergers and acquisitions. However, growth remains soft, the high level of taxes, consumer debt and high unemployment. It is better to buy existing capacity rather than creating new plants that use rates are poor.

The takeover of Cadbury by Kraft has yet taken place earlier this year.

The operation took place earlier this year because it was strategically very important for Kraft. This is also not expected to return to a debt level more comfortable to launch its offer. He attacked as soon as market conditions are loaned. Another symbolic aspect of this acquisition: it illustrates the need to increase the cash portion of the offering to complete the transaction. In other words, the larger the share in cash, the higher the transaction was likely to occur. Then again Kraft could do so only because the visibility has improved.

What is special about your fund Axa Opportunities?

The management of our fund is unusual to begin by targeting predators, their strategic and financial interest to generate external growth.Once we've found a predator, we want to know what would be the best "prey". And only from there, we are studying the viability of the project on a financial plan. So we try to place us before purchase. Operations in 2010 will be more strategic than financial. We focus on companies that have cash and are facing challenges in terms of growth, diversification, and whose price is underestimated. Our fund is invested in particular sectors of health, chemicals, oil and telecoms. According to a study co-published by Boston Consulting Group and UBS in January 2010, 20% of CEOs will make an acquisition of at least 500 million euros in turnover this year. Groups that have the greatest appetite are in insurance, chemicals and pharmaceuticals.

The portfolio is invested two thirds in mergers and acquisitions and third in special situations (change of management, disposals important modifying the profile of a group …, Ed), while in 2009 the allocation was balanced. Our pocket liquidity is still below 10% and amounts to about 2% today. This pocket is more tactical than strategic: we do not intend to play on the cash to take advantage of market reversals. And especially since our fund is PEAable (the fund must invest at least 75% in European equities).

Do you ever happen to take positions outside Europe?

Absolutely. Having decided to adopt an approach focused on the predator to detect targets the most interesting, sometimes I take positions in securities outside Europe when the target detected there.But this represents no more than 8-10% of the portfolio. For example, I have a line on Mead Johnson, an American company specializing in the infant food because it is an attractive prey for Danone and Nestle, in particular because of its positions in emerging markets.

What are your beliefs about the four areas you are most invested (health, telecommunications, chemicals, petroleum)?

In telecoms we further expect further consolidation of domestic markets as large cross-border transactions. A reconciliation between Telenet and Mobistar France Telecom would thus solve the strategic problems of France Telecom in Belgium. Health, which is a major provider of mergers and acquisitions, should suffer the same fate as laboratories continue to suffer from the rise of generics.Sanofi, which has made more than 8 billion of acquisitions last year, would buy biotech and further diversification. For this, Stada, Shire or Stallergenes are good prey. As for the chemicals and oil, they should see competition from emerging countries, notably China and India grow. SWFs should also be present, but more on that equity takeovers.

What about bank stocks? The sector is expected to undergo further restructuring, and Societe Generale would be again at the heart of debates.

For bank stocks, is a question of timing. From 1997 to 2000, banks were in second position on the market for mergers and acquisitions behind telecoms. Similarly between 2003 and 2007 but this time behind the property.I do not see them go top of the list before 2011, because of uncertainty about Basel 3. They should instead carry out asset sales as a first step. Regarding Societe Generale, which could at some point the desire to attract a European rival. In this case, a French white knight would come to her rescue (including BNP Paribas).

Why do not you invested in the car?

I am not invested in this sector because the European players are more predators than prey. Peugeot and Volkswagen are currently taking stakes in Asia for example.And anyway, it is better to invest on groups whose fundamentals are attractive, which is often not the case of the automobile.

On what themes you bet?

The race to growth lies in emerging countries will also be one of the most important theme in 2010-2011. We see particular for Kraft, who has not bought Cadbury confectionery in the UK, but to gain strategic positions in emerging markets. Sanofi has just acquired a vaccine manufacturer in India, and continues to build in China by 2020 40.000 new hospitals should be built, and 90% of the population should receive special protection. Others include Vivendi, which acquired the Brazilian GVT or Heineken has acquired the activities of the Mexican brewer Femsa to 7.6 billion dollars.An offer of GDF International Power also has a sense of perspective in particular geographical synergy in the Middle East.

What are your plans for 2010?

Now that the means of external growth are met, the operations will be resumed. 2010 marks the return of mergers and acquisitions, ie the beginning of the wave. This does not mean that we will experience a bubble market and we'll find the record levels of 2007. But clearly there is potential to find a standardized level. We nevertheless believe that large transactions will only be until the second half of 2010.We should save up 15% to 20% in 2010, the market for mergers and acquisitions.

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This year, 43% of the French plan to reduce their Christmas spending, according to an Ipsos poll conducted for France Bleu.

45% of respondents reported crop priority in their budget gifts while the proportion remained unchanged at meals. 37% of respondents also believe in spending less on decor, followed by clothing (36%) and holidays (35%).

You intend to reduce your spending Christmas, how will you compensate for the reduction in your budget? Purchases in advance or last minute offers flash web, used goods, what are your tricks to keep from spoiling your loved ones?

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Stopping the premium breaks will weigh on the statistics of retail sales in September in the United States. According to figures adjusted seasonally published by the Department of Commerce, they have declined sharply – from 1.5% in September compared to August – with the end of the device, which had boosted the index over the previous two months .

Although this decline is particularly important for a single month, it remains well below a forecast to analysts, who favored a decline greater than 2%. Auto sales, down significantly over the month, of course, have plagued the overall index, with a decrease amounted to 10.4% in September, a figure not seen since August 2005. They had jumped from 7.8% in August as a result of federal incentives to purchase new vehicles.

Excluding the impact of automobiles, retail sales rose 0.5% in September, more than was originally anticipated. A positive number, since they rose for the second consecutive month. Remains that over one year, the situation remains worrying, always accusing sales down 6.6% yoy in the third quarter.