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Statistics show every day a little more clearly the growing problem of financing faced by banks in the euro area. The phenomenon is not confined to institutions based in the peripheral countries, but won the heart of Europe, reflecting the closer and closer bond between the state debt crisis and the situation of the banking system.

To date, the year 2011, European banks had to repay 888 billion dollars to creditors (all types of bonds combined), but they could borrow 744 billion dollars over the period, reveal Figures released by the firm Dealogic. A gap of nearly $ 150 billion that masks a number of phenomena. On the one hand, banks that can accumulate "cash payday loans direct lenders."On the other, those, more numerous, which are structurally borrowers must find ways to bridge the gap between what they need and what they can take to prevent the liquidity crisis, that is, ie the default.

The first solution is the European Central Bank, which opened more widely its counters. Heavily used by institutions Greek, Irish and Portuguese, these facilities are also becoming critical to institutions whose country of origin still have access to markets. Spanish banks borrowed 86.2 billion euros at the ECB at the end of October (7 billion more than at the end of September).

Wednesday, Euro Disney action collapsed. The stock lost 8.32% to 4.13 euros. The valuation of the group is more than 160 million euros. Deficits accumulate in Euro Disney, despite a record attendance.

During the 2010-2011 fiscal year (ending September), the first amusement park in Europe has widened by almost 40% of its net loss group share to 55.6 million euros (-39.9 million against euros in 2009-2010) cash advance america. His last was in 2001 profits.

However, the number of visitors peaked at 15.6 million, 600,000 more than last year. With the exception of the Dutch, all nationalities have contributed to this increase. The French (49% of visitors), Belgians and Italians have never been numerous.

Even the British (13%), whose attendance was down for two and a half years, returned this year with Mickey.

Not everything has dragged on last night in Brussels. From 20 hours, the heads of state of the 27 EU countries have approved the launch of a large recapitalization of European banks, encrypted by the industry policeman to 106 billion euros. The principle was in fact acknowledged the last Saturday by finance ministers.

106 billion euros. This figure results from the examination of bank balance sheets after taking into account the loss of value to the end of September of sovereign debt Greek, Irish, Portuguese, Spanish or Italian, but also gains recorded on their German or British counterparts. On this basis, regulators assessed for each bank the way to go to 9% of regulatory capital ratio ("core tier 1" prudential banking jargon). This objective will be achieved on June 30 at the latest.And the addition is particularly heavy for Greek banks, of course (30 billion euros), but also in Spain (26 billion) and Italy (14.8 billion). In France, the bill is estimated at 8.8 billion, Germany at 5.1 billion.

A new showdown promises

This total was largely anticipated by the market and the banks themselves. However, a new showdown between the industry and promises to the authorities. "We ask banks to recapitalize. Not to cut their balance sheets, "argued a senior Wednesday ahead of the summit. Number of facilities provided to achieve because much of the effort flopped the sails, that is to say, by limiting their activities consume the most capital. But Europe is concerned about the impact of these strategies on the distribution of credit, especially in the east where the industry is largely owned by groups of Western Europe.The Council of the Union has insisted on its vigilance on this point. And regulators have developed their doctrine accordingly. End of June 2012, they calculate the ratio of each bank according to its balance sheet at September 30, 2011 …. It is therefore too late to play on the variable of total assets. Only an increase in capital will reach the famous 9%.

Putting aside the benefits

To avoid making capital increases in market conditions given the state of detestable share price values ​​the industry or, worse, to use the state to bail out the banks who can n ' have only one option: to put their profits in reserve, probably in much higher proportions for use. This means that the shareholders of the banks concerned will receive little or no dividend next year.Politicians hide it just, that sacrifice is almost as an objective.

All has not been lost to the banks. The Council of the EU, the European Banking Authority, promised to lay the foundation for coordinated action to help them take on the market. The sovereign debt crisis cut investors' appetite for foreign bank debts. However, they will raise more than € 600 billion next year. The European Central Bank has opened the floodgates of funding up to a year. But it can do much more as the industry needs stable funding, so many years. Government guarantees could be implemented.

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29.9 billion euros. This is the minimum cost per year, calculated by the Institute of the company, the sixteen main proposals of the socialist program and François Hollande for the presidency in 2012.

Measures François Hollande

The Institute has calculated the company eight measures developed by the Socialist candidate in the primary. First, the creation of 12,000 teaching positions per year, or 60,000 on the five-year term. This would cost 360 million euros per year, cumulative $ 1.8 billion in 2017. "These new posts create an implicit debt to the State, which undertakes to pay the pensions of these agents when they reach retirement age," says the Institute. The rating is saltier contracts for generation, exempting charges for three years as a young recruit companies while maintaining a senior job.This measure, the five-year cumulative, burden on public finances from 30.5 to 33 billion.

Another strong measure: the extension of the RSA under 25 years of activity without preconditions. The Enterprise Institute estimates that 120,000 to 200,000 young people could be affected, which would represent an annual cost of 528 to 876,000,000. With "a serious risk of imprisonment in a youth inactivity trap and a significant risk of fraud", the RSA representative "70% of the money diverted to family allowance." The Institute also estimated the cost of the massive development of renewable energy and reducing from 75 to 50% of the nuclear power generation by 2025. The bill? 10.9 billion a year.If this effort can reduce French imports of energy, it will be "on the other hand a negative effect on the purchasing power of households, through the rising cost of energy bills," warns the IDE.

The measures of the Socialist Party

Winner of the primary, Francois Hollande has not yet specified what action the program he intended to resume the PS paperless payday loans. The Institute has calculated the company in the main. The establishment of a public early childhood, a key measure of the project would cost between 4.5 and 5 billion per year. Half the budget of the justice! The bulk of the bill would come from the creation of 360,000 childcare places (3.8 billion per year … just by operating costs), welcoming children from 2 years to kindergarten cost him, by 720 million year.Much controversy as the assistant accused of favoring the creation of a study allowance for trainees is paradoxically less expensive. The Institute's $ 1.3 billion per year. The reason? This new allowance would replace other aid, and especially young people concerned only with limited resources. The bill would particularly high, however (9.6 billion per year), if the allowance was extended to all students, warns the Institute.

In a more traditional vein, the PS promotes the appreciation of the disabled adult allowance (AAH) and better care for older people, through the personal autonomy allowance (APA).According to the Institute, which takes the hypothesis of a revaluation of these allowances by 20% over five years, the AAH would cost $ 1.7 to $ 1.9 billion a year more, and the APA, 1, 5-2100000000.

Cell quantification of presidential projects, implemented by the Institute of the company, will now address the evaluation of the revenue side of the PS program. The question is whether Francois Hollande planned 30 billion of resources to balance its balance sheet. Last outstanding issue: the institute did not look back on the pension reform, suggested by the PS but never clearly put on the table by François Hollande. If this were the case, the encryption would rise much faster.

"DOCUMENT – The costing of proposals of the socialist project

The tax increase mutual health has not finished making waves. The plan of the government plans to increase from 3.5% to 7% tax on contracts and supportive health officials said, 95% of the market for complementary health, has been much debated since it was finally adopted by parliament on 8 September.

Last response date, two UMP announced Friday their intention to table an amendment to Bill Financing Social Security (PLFSS) reserves to tax "excessive" for certain health insurance schemes. Their goal: to prevent a sharp rise in contract prices by encouraging individuals to use their mutual financial reserves rather than pass on the increase in the tax on membership fees.

Sébastien Huyghe, MP North, and Valérie Rosso-Debord, Meurthe-et-Moselle, advocated to establish "what could amount to a wealth tax" on the margins of solvency of each other located far beyond the legal limit. "The law requires unions to hold minimum reserves called legal reserves or solvency margins, which now account for 17% of the amount of annual dues. When this level is set aside, it is said that the solvency of the mutual is 100%, "they recall. In their amendments, MEPs are the players that has a line "located beyond 300%", a rate considered sufficient to ensure their development or deal with contingencies.

According Valérie Rosso-Debord, the reserves of each other is "five to six times beyond the level required."These organizations "a way of managing heritage, which is not in the interest of their contributors," lamented the member quoted by Reuters. For his part, Labour Minister, Xavier Bertrand, argued that no insurance company or mutual was in financial difficulties and were "not required to fully pass this increase" on their customers .

"No secret reserves"

These arguments will probably jump Caniard Etienne, the president of the National Federation of French Mutual, which represents 600 health insurance schemes instant credit reports. He said the tax increases will be reflected automatically on membership fees, mutuals have already seen their margins decline in recent years. In this context, it amounts to 3.5% increase "mechanical" contribution for 2012. "It is no secret reserves" into the coffers of these organizations, he assures.A view shared by Gerard Andreck, Chairman of mutual insurance companies (Gema), a trade association. "Maybe there are a number of which are in mutual capacity to absorb this increase, but not the general market," he said after the vote by the parliament of the text .

Yet, according to Le Parisien, the market would not be so tense. Based on the balance sheets and income sector, the paper shows that mutual health organizations are seated on a "gold mine hidden" gigantic. MGEN (Mutual of Education) would be the best endowed. In 2009, its reserves "excessive" reached 1 billion euros, representing a solvency margin of 667%, well above the standards. With reserves of 262 million euros, Malakoff Médéric benefit from a solvency margin of 779%.These financial reserves "would easily (these mutual, Ed) to support the additional tax under the government without making their customers suffer," the paper concludes.

According to a study released Wednesday by UFC-Que Choisir, the French spent 25.4 billion euros in additional contributions to health in 2010, an increase of 16.6% in five years, two times higher than the increase income. And raising taxes will bring to the state 100 million euros in 2011 and $ 1.1 billion in 2012, according to government calculations.

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"The French spend 2700 euros per year on health care

"Rising rates of expected additional health

After two sessions of gains, the Paris Bourse off again into negative territory on Friday and leaves 0.6% to 3068.79 points in early trade. Yesterday, the CAC 40 was able to stay the course despite the announcement of a downward revision of growth expectations in the euro area by the Fed chairman, Jean-Claude Trichet. Investors heartedly welcome the details of the employment plan unveiled by U.S. President Barack Obama in the night. He introduced a bill on the release of 447 billion dollars for the Americans out of unemployment."This plan will give an electric shock to an economy that has stalled, will give confidence to businesses on the fact that if they invest and hire, there will be customers for their products and services," assured the U.S. president to members of Congress .

As in Asia this morning, traders seem to doubt the implementation of this plan. Its funding is already generating questions from Republican opponents could block a vote. Barack Obama urged them to adopt "immediately". The U.S. president also announced that it will issue on September 19 "a deficit reduction plan more ambitious."

The health of America's economy is strong markets. Any further announcement is expected with great excitement. Yesterday Wall Street has finished in the red after being disappointed by the vague speeches of Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke.The latter did not give details on the measures it would implement to support growth, as they waited.

Inflation slows in China

Still on macroeconomic, Japan has this morning reported a decline of 2.1% of GDP in the second quarter 2011 annualized. This is more than the 1.3% decline initially estimated. The main factor weighing on GDP has been the decline in exports (-4.9% from January to March).

In China, rising consumer prices, the main barometer of inflation, which had accelerated in recent months, slowed slightly to 6.2% in August. Industrial production is she up 13.5% in August.

On the agenda are Friday's industrial production in France in July and inventories of wholesalers in the United States.

As for currencies, the euro has stabilized under $ 1.40, to 1.3896 dollar.Oil rises on the other hand, supported by a surprise drop in U.S. inventories. In early electronic trading, a barrel of "light sweet crude" for delivery in October gained 23 cents to 89.28 dollars per barrel of Brent North Sea crude for October delivery 21 cents to 114.76 dollars.

Values ​​to follow

• TF1 (-4.3%), M6 (-2.25%) Bolloré (0.8%), Vivendi (-1.1%); NextRadioTV (-1.4%)

Chains react in a disorganized to take control of Direct 8 Direct and Star, two DTT channels free of the Bolloré Group, Canal +. The subsidiary of Vivendi will have three DTT frequencies. Be as much as TF1 and M6 more than the group which, in addition to the namesake chain, has only W9. For this operation, fully financed by shares, a stake Bolloré group Vivendi.

• Total (0.9%) signed the largest increase

The Anglo-Dutch oil group Shell said Friday that oil was discovered off the coast of French Guiana, during exploratory drilling at about 150 km off the coast.

• Sopra (1.81%)

The group announced the takeover of Delta, specialized in banking software. The transaction is expected to close in early October 2011, will be financed from existing credit lines of business consulting, IT services and software.

• Pierre & Vacances (-0.33%)

The group, which operates much of the accommodation ski resorts, opened 369 new tourist residences furnished this winter.

• ArcelorMittal (-1.7%)

The group will close as of October 3 for an indefinite period and the second blast furnace at its site in Florange (Moselle), according to a union source quoted by AFP.

• EADS (+0.8%) on the second step of the podium

The group said on Thursday not want to use all of its $ 16 billion (11.45 billion euros) in cash for acquisitions.

The day after a session sharply higher on Wall Street and in Asia, the Paris market continues to rebound sharply on Tuesday after rising 2.2% Monday. At the opening, the benchmark index of the Bourse de Paris wins 1.22%, to 3192, 69 points. Yesterday on Wall Street indices ended the session up 2.2% for the Dow and the Nasdaq 3.3% driven by the consumption figures in the United States.

Asian markets followed suit with their American counterparts. In Tokyo, the Nikkei was up 1.22% to 8959.75 points while unemployment is again on the rise for the second consecutive month in July and that retail sales fell by 0.3% from June

The correct orientation of financial markets has boosted oil prices.Thus, the Asian markets, the Nymex is trading at 87.49 dollars, he finished in 87.27 dollars in New York, up $ 1.90 from Friday. Brent crude traded him to 112.17 dollars.

On the currency front, the euro continues to rise slightly against the greenback, moving always on top bar $ 1.45. At about 8 am in Paris, the European currency was worth 1.4528 dollars against 1.4510 dollars late Monday.

Fears about the health of banks

The day before, call to order by Christine Lagarde bound for European banks has prompted European leaders to defend the institutions of the old continent. "European banks are much better capitalized today than they were a year ago. This was confirmed by stress tests conducted in July, "assured the Commissioner of Economic Affairs Olli Rehn.

But on Tuesday, it was the turn of the International Accounting Standards Board (IASB) to throw fuel on the fire. The IASB believes that the provisions made by banks and European insurers about their exposure to Greek debt have been dumped, reports the Financial Times. According to the newspaper, BNP Paribas and CNP Assurances are particularly concerned by this risk. This does not prevent the two values ​​rose by 2.86% and 0.20%, to 35.38 euros and 12.35 euros.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has also generally lowered its economic growth forecasts for 2011 and 2012, leaving unchanged the forecast of Germany for the current year no checking account payday advance.

Still on macroeconomic indicators will be out today.Before trading, the markets did not take umbrage at the publication of a fall, but strong early sales of new homes in the second quarter in France. Are expected, however carefully in mid-day details of business failures, the business climate and economic sentiment in the eurozone. Overseas, the index of consumer confidence, the housing (Case-Shiller) and the minutes of the last Fed meeting will also facilitate the session.

Arcelor-Mittal is growing in Australia

On the corporate side, Arcelor-Mittal (1.60% to 14.58 euros) is about to take control of Australia's Macarthur, world's largest producer of pulverized coal, in association with the American Peabody Energy . The tender offer made by the European steel amounts to 5.16 billion dollars.Macarthur's management finally yielded to the new offer revised upwards by the Arcelor-Peobody tandem: it is 16 Australian dollars (11.8 euros) per share, against A $ 15.50 earlier.

The semi-annual publications are now many, especially among heavyweights rating. Note that the Y real, Havas, Bouygues, Colas, Vinci, Bollore, NRJ Group and Devoteam detail their half-year after the market closes.

In addition, Ipsen (6.12% to 23.50 euros) announced revenues up 5.3% in the first half.He also announced an upward adjustment of its sales forecast for 2011 in favor of a less pronounced decline than expected sales in general practice.

The French shipowner CMA-CGM said that 2011 should be "a good year" for the group, claiming to have already funded the bulk of its investments for 2011 and 2012. The company said to have $ 1.7 billion (1.17 billion euros) in cash at the end of June, July and have paid $ 550 million bond line, while press reports evoked ago few weeks of possible cash flow problems.

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"The Cac 40 erases its losses the last two sessions

"Wall Street continues its rebound

"Everything is possible, you must be persistent and go!" Is the advice given to Arthur Soultrait, founding president of the textile company Viscount A, to those who dream of starting their own business. "It is a step by step and it is built," continues the authentic viscount, a former student of the Ipag which started in 2005 in the sale of ties, going door to door in the evening after third-year internship overseas.

A new episode of the saga Vicomte A will mark the re-entry. In early September, the firm will launch a new collection: Renette Gastinne by Vicomte A. "It's just our heart, enthused the boss.At vicomte had the chance to resume Gastinne Renette, the brand legendary hunters, to be 200 years next year. "

Viscount A, which has 50 employees and produces 11 million euros in sales, is already present in horse riding, golf, tennis and sailing. "Our image is the chic sport, including the major international equestrian competitions, the finals of the World Cup in Geneva and Polo Club Palm Beach, Gstaad or St. Tropez," says the manager.

European manufacturing

If the beginnings were difficult to tackle the major sector like Lacoste and Ralph Lauren, "because you start with nothing, you will establish your experience, Vicomte A now shows a very clear position, which is authentic to the French said Arthur de Soultrait payday advance online.It is the only face of foreign competitors and we play on it, bringing our colors, our freshness, our desire. I think today we made a difference like that. "

Another way to stand out, making Vicomte A is mainly European with the exception of polo shirts that are made in Peru. "Because it is there that we find the Pima cotton, which is the Rolls of cotton," says the entrepreneur.

However, Arthur de Soultrait considering a future manufacture of these items in France. "It's important for us to return the favor, since France is one of our major markets, we have many dealers. We found a workshop, again with Pima cotton from Peru, we can shape our polos.This allows us to have one made in France, which is completely Vicomte A picture of authenticity. "

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"PORTRAIT – Arthur de Soultrait imposes its claw

"Find all the emissions Circle Contractors

How do you explain the economic slowdown in recent months and the downward revisions to growth prospects?

More than a brake unexpectedly in the economy, we see a reversal of perception. The latter is even more brutal than the general opinion was, in my view, tainted with excessive optimism. Then it is difficult to know what, the political farce about debt in Washington, the loss of the AAA American or poor statistics justified the change of outlook on the economy.

The publication of poor growth in the second quarter in the U.S. and the downward revision of the statistics of activity since 2008, have changed the vision of recovery.We start from lower than initial estimates, and we go up the slope much more slowly than expected.

We also witnessed a particularly brutal realization that the inflationary between autumn 2010 and spring 2011 was a major blow to the head of consumers. With a depressed job market and debt strategy, it was not much more to demand falters significantly.

Do you believe in a scenario back in recession?

The situation is much more fragile than earlier this year. The risk of a recession back to a horizon of six months has increased considerably paydayloans. In my view, two scenarios-slow growth or recession-are as likely to occur. The first scenario would lead to growth of only 2% in the U.S. and 1% in Europe, below the trend in previous upturns.The fault mainly mass unemployment. As for the recession, it could happen if everyone is convinced it is inevitable. Given the current environment, the market may in fact remain in panic mode, accumulating indiscriminate bad news one after the other.

Some economists raise the specter of the 2008 crisis …

In response to the bankruptcy of Lehmann, banks no longer wanted to lend to each other, freezing, and the global economy for six months. We're not there. Of course, we see signs of stress in the interbank market, but they have nothing to do with the situation three years ago. At the time, the Fed has provided up to $ 600 billion to other central banks to provide liquidity in dollars. Currently, the hotline is used up to 200 million.

In a recession, states will they try to revive the economy?

Western countries have largely emptied their cartridge: operating margins are much narrower. Any potential action, if it increases the debt carries with it much more likely than before.

Asian stock markets are in a bad mood on Thursday. Investors in the region are not reassured Wall Street that ended Wednesday in the balance after a volatile session. Fears of an economic slowdown in the world come to the fore.

The Tokyo Stock Exchange sets the tone with an opening in the red, down 0.42% for the Nikkei. The Japanese benchmark index widened its losses in the morning to show a decline of 1.24% to 8944 points at a time of closing. A new mixed indicators on the front disrupted operators: Japan reported in a July trade surplus, four months after the earthquake of March 11, but the surplus has shrunk by more than 90% because of lower exports and a surge in energy costs.The third largest economy last month generated a trading profit of 72.5 billion yen (650 million), confirming a recovery in economic activity, but its exports fell by 3.3%.

Tokyo is hit by a rise in the yen against the dollar, which traded below 77 yen again this morning values ​​exporters are under pressure, in the image of Mazda Motor (-5 fast cash without a hassle.65%), Fuji Heavy Industries (-5 , 16%), Nissan (-2.96%). The electronics sector is hit by the fall of Dell in the U.S. markets. Toshiba lost 4.45% and 2.34% Panasonic.

Hong Kong is the perfect balance while in Shanghai, the stock market unscrews from 0.34%. The Korean Kospi lost 2.95%, the S & P Australian loose 1.40% and the Indian Sensex was down 0.73%.

Oil off again down

Oil prices were down Thursday morning in electronic trading in Asia as investors await key U.S. economic indicators, the first consumer of black gold in the world. On the menu, including: the weekly jobless claims, the index of leading indicators and consumer prices.

In morning trading, a barrel of "light sweet crude" for September delivery lost 33 cents to 87.25 dollars. That of Brent North Sea crude for September delivery yielded 30 cents to 110.30 dollars.